Today’s Pitcher Prop Picks For July 14
WagerTalk MLB Player Prop Expert Andy Lang provides his MLB pitcher prop picks and predictions for Friday, July 14 with odds provided by DraftKings. Get his best pitcher prop picks before first pitch!
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Pitcher Prop Prediction 1: Brayan Bello Over 17.5 (-165)
Boston Red Sox starting pitcher Brayan Bello has been lights out since the beginning of May with a 2.41 ERA and 56 strikeouts across 67.2 innings of work.
The youngster has consistently ramped up his longevity and has pitched 6+ innings in his last six and 7 of his last 8 starts. Bello has a 55.8% ground ball percentage thanks to a sinkerball that he uses 34.2% of the time.
The Chicago Cubs have the 4th highest groundball rate against right-handed pitching this season. They also rank below average across the board against right-handers at 19th in wOBA and ISO on the season and 26th in those categories since June 1st.
Obviously, the Boston bullpen is primed for action after the break, but Bello is a young pitcher that the Red Sox management has come to trust. Look for them to lean on him to preserve the bullpen for later in the weekend.
Pitcher Prop Prediction 2: Eduardo Rodriguez U17.5 (-120)
Detroit Tigers starting pitcher Eduardo Rodriguez is having a solid season with 4-5 record, 2.64 ERA, 1.00 WHIP and 74 strikeouts across 71.2 innings pitched. However, Rodriguez has fallen short of pitching a full six innings in three of his last four starts.
He is also coming off a brutal outing before the break where he allowed five earned runs on six hits including two home runs across only four innings against a weak Oakland Athletics team.
Admittedly, the Seattle Mariners aren’t a top-notch team against southpaws as they rank 20th in ISO and 24th in wOBA. However, E-Rod has struggled against the majority of the Mariners lineup throughout his career.
Teoscar Hernandez leads the way going 8-19 with 3 home runs against Rodriguez. JP Crawford is 5-12 with two doubles, Julio Rodriguez is 1-2 with a home run and Ty France is 3-14 with a home run.
Like every team in the MLB, the Tigers pen will be completely fresh coming off the break and they won’t be looking to overextend a pitcher with a history of injuries.
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