The Pittsburgh Pirates (-200) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+165) on Sunday, July 14, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Pirates are 47-48 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 44-53 ATS.
Pirates vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Pirates starting pitcher: Mitch Keller 10-5, 3.43 ERA
- White Sox starting pitcher: Jared Shuster 1-2, 3.52 ERA
Pirates vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Pirates vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 63.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 31 games (+13.45 Units / 43% ROI)
- Nick Gonzales has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 away games (+12.65 Units / 35% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Singles Over in 24 of his last 35 games (+11.75 Units / 28% ROI)
- Nick Gonzales has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+11.20 Units / 40% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 21 games (+9.75 Units / 37% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+17.00 Units / 170% ROI)
- Lenyn Sosa has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+11.30 Units / 32% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+10.45 Units / 39% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.25 Units / 32% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 18 games (+10.15 Units / 40% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 51 of their last 84 games (+14.75 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 51 games (+12.60 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 51 games (+10.75 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 33 games (+10.25 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 56 games (+8.95 Units / 12% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 31 games at home (+9.10 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 11 games at home (+2.50 Units / 21% ROI)
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 51-44 against the Run Line (+3.86 Units / 3.11% ROI).
- 47-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.25 Units / -2.04% ROI
- 43-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.45 Units / -8.97% ROI
- 48-43 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.68 Units / 1.62% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 44-53 against the Run Line (-14.3 Units / -12.23% ROI).
- 27-70 when betting on the Moneyline for -34.3 Units / -34.25% ROI
- 43-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -11 Units / -10.36% ROI
- 49-43 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.15 Units / 2.04% ROI
White Sox vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Luis Robert (CWS) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
Joey Bart (PIT) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Nick Gonzales (PIT) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Jack Suwinski (PIT) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
White Sox vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Tommy Pham (CWS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Luis Robert (CWS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Andrew Vaughn (CWS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Lenyn Sosa (CWS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
Eloy Jimenez (CWS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
White Sox vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Ke'Bryan Hayes (PIT) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
Nick Gonzales (PIT) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Luis Robert (CWS) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Joey Bart (PIT) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
White Sox vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Mitch Keller (PIT) | 5.5 -135 | 5.5 +105 |
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Mitch Keller has allowed an OBP of .337 (727 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .287 — eighth Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 33% (50/154) against Mitch Keller this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — eighth Percentile.
Mitch Keller has walked 11 of 234 left-handed batters (5%) this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 92nd Percentile.
Mitch Keller has not walked any of the 18 batters that he has faced when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — tied for best among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jared Shuster has a strike rate of just 56% (251/446) against right-handed batters this season — lowest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 65% — 0 Percentile.
Jared Shuster has a strike rate of just 56% (251/446) against right-handed batters this season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Jared Shuster has a strikeout rate of just 32% (25 SO in 78 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 8th lowest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 44% — eighth Percentile.
Jared Shuster has struck out just 13% (8/61) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 7th lowest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 24% — seventh Percentile.