The Pittsburgh Pirates (+140) visit CenturyLink Sports Complex to take on the Minnesota Twins (-165) on Monday, March 27, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Fort Myers.

The Twins are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).

The Pirates vs Twins Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

During Spring Training, the Pirates are 7-13 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 9-10 ATS.

Pirates vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Pirates vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Monday‘s Spring Training matchup with 64.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Pirates and Twins and up-to-date player injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:

• Ji-wan Bae has hit the Runs Over in his last 3 games (+5.65 Units / 188% ROI)
• Rodolfo Castro has hit the RBIs Over in his last 2 games (+4.10 Units / 205% ROI)
• Bligh Madris has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 41% ROI)
• Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
• Jason Delay has hit the Singles Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 52% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Trevor Larnach has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 51% ROI)
• Royce Lewis has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 50% ROI)
• Max Kepler has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 41% ROI)
• Gilberto Celestino has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
• Royce Lewis has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.70 Units / 135% ROI)

Pirates Best Bets Today:

• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 56 of their last 98 games (+12.55 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 26 games (+10.40 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 61 games (+6.60 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 36 games (+6.20 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 36 games (+5.35 Units / 14% ROI)

Twins Best Bets Today:

• The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 41 of their last 72 games at home (+13.75 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 47 of their last 79 games at home (+11.45 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 16 games at home (+10.55 Units / 57% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 28 games at home (+7.60 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 45 games at home (+7.05 Units / 14% ROI)

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 11-11 against the Run Line (-2.05 Units / -7.26% ROI).

• 7-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.6 Units / -23.43% ROI
• 14-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.25 Units / 29.71% ROI
• 6-14 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.45 Units / -39.21% ROI

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 9-10 against the Run Line (-2.55 Units / -10.32% ROI).

• 9-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.45 Units / 6.44% ROI
• 6-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.4 Units / -29.77% ROI
• 11-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.75 Units / 23.28% ROI

Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Hitters have swung at 53% of JT Brubaker’s pitches (655/1,230) with two-strikes since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 61% — first Percentile.

Hitters swung at 54% of JT Brubaker’s pitches (371/693) with two-strikes last season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 61% — third Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 33% (330/993) against JT Brubaker on elevated fastballs since the start of the 2021 season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 49% — second Percentile.

JT Brubaker has located his fastball up for a strike just 51% (507/993) of the time since the start of the 2021 season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 61% — third Percentile.

Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 29% (115/396) against Joe Ryan last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 19% (47/246) against Joe Ryan since the start of the 2021 season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 97th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 28% (69/246) against Joe Ryan since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 44% — second Percentile.

  
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