The Pittsburgh Pirates (+140) visit Publix Field at Joker Marchant Stadium to take on the Detroit Tigers (-165) on Saturday, March 9, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 1:05pm EST in Lakeland, FL.
This season, the Pirates are 5-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 5-5 ATS.
Pirates vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Pirates vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Saturday‘s matchup with 56.8% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:
- Canaan Smith-Njigba has hit the Singles Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.85 Units / 41% ROI)
- Jason Delay has hit the Singles Over in his last 2 away games (+3.30 Units / 165% ROI)
- Canaan Smith-Njigba has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.25 Units / 112% ROI)
- Jack Suwinski has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Canaan Smith-Njigba has hit the Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 away games (+1.40 Units / 35% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Andy Ibanez has hit the RBIs Over in his last 3 games (+5.90 Units / 197% ROI)
- Ryan Kreidler has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.10 Units / 53% ROI)
- Andre Lipcius has hit the Singles Over in his last 2 games at home (+2.25 Units / 105% ROI)
- Andre Lipcius has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 71% ROI)
- Carson Kelly has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 62% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 67 games (+15.85 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 69 of their last 120 games (+15.10 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 76 of their last 134 games (+11.44 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 65 games (+10.67 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 63 games (+10.50 Units / 13% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 76 of their last 151 games (+15.90 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 29 games (+11.80 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games (+10.89 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 75 games (+8.60 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+7.39 Units / 74% ROI)
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Pirates are 6-6 against the Run Line (-1.14 Units / -7.08% ROI).
- 5-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.17 Units / -15.9% ROI
- 7-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.8 Units / 21.26% ROI
- 4-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.6 Units / -27.17% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Tigers are 5-5 against the Run Line (-0.09 Units / -0.78% ROI).
- 4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.8 Units / -6.48% ROI
- 3-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.82 Units / -33.9% ROI
- 6-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.77 Units / 25.65% ROI
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 58% (130/224) against Luis Ortiz on pitches in the strike zone in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 0 Percentile.
Luis Ortiz had a strike rate of just 61% (238/391) when he’s behind in the count in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 69% — second Percentile.
Luis Ortiz threw fastballs down 49% of the time (388/787) in the 2023 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 27% — 98th Percentile.
Luis Ortiz had a strikeout rate of just 7% (6/80) when going through the lineup the third time in a game in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 20% — 0 Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Matt Manning allowed a BABIP of .216 in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .295 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents had a line drive rate of just 15% (21/140) versus Matt Manning on non-fastballs in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents had a chase percentage of just 22% (114/514) against Matt Manning in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 29% — first Percentile.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 19% (104/553) against Matt Manning in the 2023 season — 12th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 25% — sixth Percentile.