Pirates vs Rockies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun. 16
Pirates vs Rockies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun. 16

The Pittsburgh Pirates (-135) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+115) on Sunday, June 16, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 3:10pm EDT in Denver, CO.

This season, the Pirates are 33-37 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 35-35 ATS.

Pirates vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Pirates starting pitcher: Undecided 0-0, 0.00 ERA
  • Rockies starting pitcher: Dakota Hudson 2-8, 4.88 ERA

Pirates vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Pirates vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 57.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Nick Gonzales has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 28 games (+15.90 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Nick Gonzales has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 15 away games (+15.00 Units / 100% ROI)
  • Nick Gonzales has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 28 games (+14.55 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Bryan Reynolds has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+8.85 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Nick Gonzales has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 30 games (+8.45 Units / 26% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Ryan McMahon has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 27 games (+23.70 Units / 88% ROI)
  • Ryan McMahon has hit the Runs Over in 20 of his last 32 games (+14.00 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 34 games (+13.85 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Brenton Doyle has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 21 games at home (+11.55 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Charlie Blackmon has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 28 games (+11.15 Units / 25% ROI)

  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 38 of their last 59 games (+15.35 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+8.00 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 26 games (+7.75 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 26 games (+7.20 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 31 games (+6.45 Units / 16% ROI)

  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 34 games (+14.10 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 34 games (+11.25 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 40 games (+8.30 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 28 games (+8.00 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 35 games (+4.45 Units / 11% ROI)

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 37-33 against the Run Line (+1.36 Units / 1.48% ROI).

  • 33-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -6 Units / -7.33% ROI
  • 34-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.8 Units / -1.03% ROI
  • 32-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.72 Units / -6.16% ROI

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 35-35 against the Run Line (-6.95 Units / -8.11% ROI).

  • 25-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.65 Units / -5.27% ROI
  • 35-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.25 Units / -1.64% ROI
  • 33-35 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.35 Units / -7.05% ROI

Paul Skenes has a strikeout rate of 35% (46 SO in 130 PAs) this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 99th Percentile.

Paul Skenes has a strikeout rate of 44% (8 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — tied for best among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Paul Skenes has an average fastball velocity of 99.3 MPH this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: 93.6 — 100th Percentile.

Paul Skenes has allowed an OBP of just .111 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — 4th best among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .295 — 94th Percentile.

Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Dakota Hudson has walked 15 of 117 batters (13%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — first Percentile.

Dakota Hudson has a strikeout rate of just 9% (10 SO in 117 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.

Dakota Hudson has a strikeout rate of just 7% (3 SO in 42 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — second Percentile.

Dakota Hudson has struck out just 13% (19/149) of left-handed batters he faced this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

  
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