Pirates vs Rockies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 18
Pirates vs Rockies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 18

The Pittsburgh Pirates (-110) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (-110) on Tuesday, April 18, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in Denver.

The Pirates are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).

The Pirates vs Rockies Over/Under is 13 total runs for the game.

This season, the Pirates are 10-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 4-13 ATS.

Pirates vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Pirates vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rockies will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Pirates and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.75 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Bryan Reynolds has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+10.40 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Bryan Reynolds has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 8 away games (+7.70 Units / 96% ROI)
  • Rodolfo Castro has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 7 games (+7.05 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Rodolfo Castro has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 60% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Kris Bryant has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.45 Units / 46% ROI)
  • C.J. Cron has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+8.20 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.10 Units / 44% ROI)
  • C.J. Cron has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 72% ROI)
  • Kris Bryant has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+7.35 Units / 30% ROI)

Rockies vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew McCutchen 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
Jurickson Profar 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
C.J. Cron 0.5 +250 0.5 -400
Austin Hedges 0.5 +875 0.5 -5000
Bryan Reynolds 0.5 +320 0.5 -550

Rockies vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew McCutchen 1.5 +170 1.5 -225
Jurickson Profar 1.5 +170 1.5 -225
C.J. Cron 1.5 +190 1.5 -250
Austin Hedges 0.5 -140 0.5 +105
Bryan Reynolds 1.5 +120 1.5 -160

Rockies vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew McCutchen 0.5 +115 0.5 -150
Jurickson Profar 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
C.J. Cron 0.5 -105 0.5 -125
Austin Hedges 0.5 +230 0.5 -300
Bryan Reynolds 0.5 +100 0.5 -135

Rockies vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jose Urena 3.5 +125 3.5 -160
Vincent Velasquez 4.5 +120 4.5 -155

  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 8 away games (+8.60 Units / 97% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games (+7.55 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 away games (+6.20 Units / 77% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 8 away games (+5.75 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.85 Units / 42% ROI)

  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 15 games (+9.15 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 86% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.75 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games at home (+0.05 Units / 1% ROI)

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 10-7 against the Run Line (+0.7 Units / 2.97% ROI).

  • 10-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.75 Units / 38.79% ROI
  • 8-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.5 Units / -2.7% ROI
  • 8-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.55 Units / -2.92% ROI

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 4-13 against the Run Line (-9.4 Units / -51.23% ROI).

  • 5-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.4 Units / -33.42% ROI
  • 9-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 8-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.4 Units / -7.78% ROI

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 6% (1/16) against Vince Velasquez — lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 15% (4/27) against Vince Velasquez in non-two strike counts this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 16% (3/19) against Vince Velasquez’s curve and slider this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 24% (5/21) against Vince Velasquez this season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 43% — ninth Percentile.

Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jose Urena has allowed an OPS of 2.622 (15 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 1.147 — first Percentile.

Left-handed batters are hitting .338 (78-for-231) against Jose Urena since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 70 total IP; League Avg: .236 — first Percentile.

Jose Urena has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.238 (26 Total Bases / 21 ABs) on fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: .478 — 0 Percentile.

  
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