The Pittsburgh Pirates (-105) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-115) on Monday, June 24, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH.
This season, the Pirates are 37-40 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 43-34 ATS.
Pirates vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:
- Pirates starting pitcher: Bailey Falter 3-5, 3.76 ERA
- Reds starting pitcher: Carson Spiers 0-1, 3.20 ERA
Pirates vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Pirates vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Monday‘s MLB game with 51.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nick Gonzales has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 16 away games (+14.00 Units / 88% ROI)
- Nick Gonzales has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 away games (+13.20 Units / 46% ROI)
- Nick Gonzales has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 17 away games (+11.75 Units / 46% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+9.05 Units / 40% ROI)
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 19 away games (+8.80 Units / 45% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Under in 27 of his last 44 games (+19.05 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 26 games (+18.60 Units / 72% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 39 games (+13.60 Units / 28% ROI)
- Jake Fraley has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 games at home (+10.55 Units / 38% ROI)
- Will Benson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+10.00 Units / 71% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 44 of their last 66 games (+20.15 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.85 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 33 games (+8.75 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 33 games (+5.45 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 38 games (+5.40 Units / 11% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 38 of their last 61 games (+15.80 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 25 games at home (+14.55 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 37 games at home (+10.80 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 59 games (+9.50 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 27 games (+6.15 Units / 19% ROI)
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 40-37 against the Run Line (+0.31 Units / 0.31% ROI).
- 37-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.65 Units / -6.22% ROI
- 35-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.5 Units / -7.61% ROI
- 38-35 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.28 Units / 0.33% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 43-34 against the Run Line (+5.65 Units / 5.49% ROI).
- 36-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.55 Units / -6.19% ROI
- 32-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.7 Units / -17.32% ROI
- 42-32 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.45 Units / 7.61% ROI
Reds vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -300 |
Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
Connor Joe (PIT) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
Jeimer Candelario (CIN) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Reds vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Nick Gonzales (PIT) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
Santiago Espinal (CIN) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
Jeimer Candelario (CIN) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
Stuart Fairchild (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Jared Triolo (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Reds vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
Jeimer Candelario (CIN) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
Connor Joe (PIT) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
Reds vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Bailey Falter (PIT) | 3.5 -160 | 3.5 +125 |
Carson Spiers (CIN) | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -105 |
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 20% (107/538) against Bailey Falter this season — 7th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — eighth Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 19% (80/431) against Bailey Falter this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — fourth Percentile.
Bailey Falter has a strikeout rate of just 14% (18 SO in 126 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Bailey Falter has thrown fastballs 68% of the time (591/865) against right-handed batters this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 49% — 97th Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .293 (17-for-58) against Carson Spiers with two-strikes this season — highest among NL Relievers; League Avg: .159 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 26% (10/38) against Carson Spiers in two-strike counts this season — tied for 2nd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 45% — second Percentile.
Carson Spiers has allowed three-ball counts to 7% of batters they faced (7/106 PA’s) this season — lowest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.
Carson Spiers has allowed a slugging percentage of .431 (25 Total Bases / 58 ABs) with two-strikes this season — 3rd highest among NL Relievers; League Avg: .239 — third Percentile.