The Pittsburgh Pirates (+170) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-210) on Tuesday, August 13, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in San Diego, CA.

This season, the Pirates are 56-62 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 61-59 ATS.

Pirates vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:

• Pirates starting pitcher: Luis Ortiz 0-0, 26.99 ERA
• Padres starting pitcher: Michael King 9-6, 3.37 ERA

Pirates vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Pirates vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 65.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:

• Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 45 games (+21.10 Units / 24% ROI)
• Joey Bart has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games (+18.20 Units / 182% ROI)
• Bryan Reynolds has hit the Singles Over in 31 of his last 47 games (+12.85 Units / 23% ROI)
• Bryan Reynolds has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 17 away games (+9.45 Units / 36% ROI)
• Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 28 of his last 45 games (+9.40 Units / 18% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jackson Merrill has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 49 games (+52.10 Units / 106% ROI)
• Xander Bogaerts has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 20 of his last 26 games (+13.65 Units / 43% ROI)
• Jackson Merrill has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 30 games (+13.20 Units / 27% ROI)
• Xander Bogaerts has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 30 games (+12.80 Units / 34% ROI)
• Jurickson Profar has hit the Walks Under in 32 of his last 44 games (+12.15 Units / 15% ROI)

Pirates Best Bets Today:

• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 48 of their last 79 games (+16.70 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 41 games (+10.05 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 56 games (+7.85 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 37 away games (+4.95 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 37 away games (+4.00 Units / 9% ROI)

Padres Best Bets Today:

• The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 43 games (+15.35 Units / 27% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 27 games at home (+10.20 Units / 34% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 47 of their last 88 games (+7.00 Units / 6% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.70 Units / 24% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 27 games at home (+4.80 Units / 15% ROI)

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 66-52 against the Run Line (+11.61 Units / 7.63% ROI).

• 56-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.35 Units / -5.38% ROI
• 55-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.9 Units / -7.57% ROI
• 59-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.72 Units / -0.56% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 61-59 against the Run Line (+3.9 Units / 2.61% ROI).

• 67-53 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.55 Units / 2.24% ROI
• 64-54 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.2 Units / 3.97% ROI
• 54-64 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.95 Units / -12.73% ROI

Padres vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Luis Ortiz has allowed an OPS of 2.118 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (2 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .705 — first Percentile.

Luis Ortiz has allowed an OPS of 2.118 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (2 games) — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: .726 — second Percentile.

Luis Ortiz has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.562 (25 Total Bases / 16 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (2 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .414 — first Percentile.

Luis Ortiz has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.562 (25 Total Bases / 16 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (2 games) — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: .432 — second Percentile.

Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Michael King has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 85.3 MPH (322 batted balls) this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 88.7 — 100th Percentile.

Michael King has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 86.0 MPH since last season (585 balls in play) — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 111 total IP; League Avg: 89.1

Michael King has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 82.4 MPH on non-fastballs since last season (294 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 111 total IP; League Avg: 87.3

Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 19% (34/176) against Michael King on non-fastballs this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 33% — 100th Percentile.

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

  
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