The Pittsburgh Pirates (+145) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-175) on Sunday, August 7, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Baltimore.
The Orioles are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Pirates vs Orioles Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Pirates are 43-64 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 70-37 ATS.
Pirates vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Pirates vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Sunday‘s matchup with 64.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Pirates and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 19 games (+16.75 Units / 50% ROI)
- Tucupita Marcano has hit the Hits Under in his last 5 away games (+8.10 Units / 119% ROI)
- Michael Chavis has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- Rodolfo Castro has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 48% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+7.70 Units / 55% ROI)
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Anthony Santander has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 28 games (+18.10 Units / 30% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Singles Over in 28 of his last 44 games at home (+15.65 Units / 35% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 28 games (+13.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 22 games (+12.05 Units / 34% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Runs Under in 32 of his last 44 games at home (+10.25 Units / 13% ROI)
Orioles vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Adley Rutschman | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
Cedric Mullins | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
Ben Gamel | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
Bligh Madris | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
Orioles vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Adley Rutschman | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -275 |
Cedric Mullins | 1.5 +160 | 1.5 -225 |
Ben Gamel | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +180 |
Bligh Madris | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +135 |
Bryan Reynolds | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -275 |
Orioles vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Adley Rutschman | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -175 |
Cedric Mullins | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
Ben Gamel | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
Bligh Madris | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
Orioles vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Spenser Watkins | 3.5 -150 | 3.5 +105 |
Bryse Wilson | 3.5 +115 | 3.5 -160 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Pirates Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 43 games (+13.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 17 of their last 27 games (+7.85 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 53 of their last 98 games (+6.85 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+4.45 Units / 89% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 66 games (+2.35 Units / 3% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Orioles: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 60 of their last 87 games (+27.85 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 87 games (+27.60 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 45 games (+11.45 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 48 of their last 84 games (+11.35 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 69 games (+9.25 Units / 12% ROI)
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 56-51 against the Run Line (-1.8 Units / -1.33% ROI).
- 43-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.2 Units / -1.08% ROI
- 46-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.95 Units / -11.89% ROI
- 55-46 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.35 Units / 3.67% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 70-37 against the Run Line (+26.05 Units / 18.5% ROI).
- 56-51 when betting on the Moneyline for +23.4 Units / 20.79% ROI
- 50-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.75 Units / -5.78% ROI
- 53-50 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.95 Units / -1.63% ROI
Bryse Wilson: Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bryse Wilson has allowed a BABIP of .417 vs left-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: .276 — 0 Percentile.
Bryse Wilson has allowed a slugging percentage of .575 (149 Total Bases / 259 ABs) vs left-handed batters since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: .394 — second Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 80% (12/15) against Bryse Wilson vs left-handed batters — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 37% — first Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting .324 (84-for-259) against Bryse Wilson since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: .237 — third Percentile.
Spenser Watkins: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
18 of Spenser Watkins’ 40 strikeouts (45%) have come on cutters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: 4% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .366 (34-for-93) against Spenser Watkins versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: .257 — second Percentile.
Spenser Watkins has allowed a slugging percentage of .624 (58 Total Bases / 93 ABs) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: .438 — second Percentile.
Spenser Watkins has not walked any of the 48 batters that he has faced — tied for best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.