The Pittsburgh Pirates (+140) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-165) on Saturday, August 31, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.

This season, the Pirates are 62-72 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 67-68 ATS.

Pirates vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:

• Pirates starting pitcher: Luis Ortiz 0-0, 26.99 ERA
• Guardians starting pitcher: Matthew Boyd 1-0, 2.70 ERA

Pirates vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Pirates vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 56.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:

• Yasmani Grandal has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 13 games (+23.90 Units / 184% ROI)
• Bryan Reynolds has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 22 away games (+14.45 Units / 43% ROI)
• Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+10.70 Units / 37% ROI)
• Bryan Reynolds has hit the Singles Over in 23 of his last 34 games (+10.10 Units / 25% ROI)
• Oneil Cruz has hit the Hits Over in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 54% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Steven Kwan has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 49 games (+22.50 Units / 46% ROI)
• Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Under in 35 of his last 46 games (+18.20 Units / 19% ROI)
• Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Under in 31 of his last 42 games (+14.50 Units / 22% ROI)
• Andres Gimenez has hit the Runs Under in 33 of his last 44 games (+12.50 Units / 14% ROI)
• Josh Naylor has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+10.65 Units / 35% ROI)

Pirates Best Bets Today:

• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 55 of their last 95 games (+13.20 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Over in 35 of their last 57 games (+11.50 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 31 games (+8.85 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.90 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 43 away games (+2.05 Units / 4% ROI)

Guardians Best Bets Today:

• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 61 games at home (+11.50 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Over in 38 of their last 65 games at home (+11.45 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 62 games at home (+9.15 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+3.15 Units / 31% ROI)

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 73-61 against the Run Line (+8.11 Units / 4.67% ROI).

• 62-72 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.75 Units / -7.61% ROI
• 65-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.55 Units / -3.73% ROI
• 64-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.57 Units / -4.49% ROI

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 67-68 against the Run Line (+1.45 Units / 0.86% ROI).

• 77-58 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.22 Units / 5.93% ROI
• 66-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.55 Units / -1.71% ROI
• 62-66 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.55 Units / -7.13% ROI

Guardians vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today

Guardians vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Guardians vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today

Guardians vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Luis Ortiz has allowed an OPS of 1.189 (45 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (5 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .653 — first Percentile.

Luis Ortiz has allowed a slugging percentage of .811 (30 Total Bases / 37 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (5 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .371 — first Percentile.

Luis Ortiz has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 92.4 MPH in the 2023 season (287 balls in play) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 89.2

Luis Ortiz allowed an average Exit Velocity of 92.4 MPH (287 batted balls) in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 89.2 — 0 Percentile.

Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Matthew Boyd has allowed an OBP of just .231 (65 PA’s) this month (3 games) — tied for 11th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: .314 — 93rd Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .169 (10-for-59) against Matthew Boyd this month (3 games) — 10th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: .251 — 94th Percentile.

Matthew Boyd has allowed a slugging percentage of just .205 (8 Total Bases / 39 ABs) at home this month (2 games) — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: .417 — 96th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .154 (6-for-39) against Matthew Boyd at home this month (2 games) — 10th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: .250 — 93rd Percentile.

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

  
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