The Pittsburgh Pirates (+165) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-200) on Friday, August 9, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA.

This season, the Pirates are 56-58 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 55-60 ATS.

Pirates vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:

• Pirates starting pitcher: Mitch Keller 10-5, 3.23 ERA
• Dodgers starting pitcher: Jack Flaherty 8-5, 2.82 ERA

Pirates vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Pirates vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Friday‘s MLB game with 58.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:

• Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 41 games (+19.95 Units / 25% ROI)
• Joey Bart has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games (+14.80 Units / 247% ROI)
• Bryan Reynolds has hit the Singles Over in 28 of his last 43 games (+10.60 Units / 20% ROI)
• Bryan Reynolds has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+9.80 Units / 29% ROI)
• Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 26 of his last 41 games (+9.35 Units / 20% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jason Heyward has hit the Singles Under in 30 of his last 39 games (+15.25 Units / 24% ROI)
• Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 16 games (+15.00 Units / 94% ROI)
• Jack Flaherty has hit the Strikeouts Over in 16 of his last 19 games (+13.05 Units / 58% ROI)
• Gavin Lux has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.80 Units / 49% ROI)
• Amed Rosario has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 24 games (+12.55 Units / 29% ROI)

Pirates Best Bets Today:

• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 46 of their last 75 games (+16.70 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 37 games (+10.45 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 33 away games (+8.30 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 52 games (+8.05 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 away games (+7.40 Units / 40% ROI)

Dodgers Best Bets Today:

• The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 48 games at home (+11.00 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 33 games (+8.00 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.75 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 13 games at home (+3.25 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.10 Units / 26% ROI)

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 64-50 against the Run Line (+11.61 Units / 7.85% ROI).

• 56-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.25 Units / -2.45% ROI
• 53-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.8 Units / -7.75% ROI
• 57-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.52 Units / -0.42% ROI

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 55-60 against the Run Line (-11.45 Units / -8.23% ROI).

• 66-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.15 Units / -7.51% ROI
• 60-54 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.65 Units / 0.51% ROI
• 54-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -12 Units / -9.46% ROI

Dodgers vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today

Dodgers vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Dodgers vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today

Dodgers vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Mitch Keller has allowed a slugging percentage of just .287 (50 Total Bases / 174 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .390 — 94th Percentile.

Mitch Keller has allowed an OBP of .334 (763 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .288 — eighth Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 27% (106/391) against Mitch Keller this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — fifth Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% (201/967) against Mitch Keller this season — tied for 9th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 14th Percentile.

Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 32% (42/131) against Jack Flaherty this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.

Jack Flaherty has a strikeout rate of 32% (140 SO in 440 PAs) this season — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 96th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .417 (10-for-24) against Jack Flaherty in close and late situations since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 110 total IP; League Avg: .231 — third Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .468 (22-for-47) against Jack Flaherty on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: .330 — second Percentile.

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

  
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