The Pittsburgh Pirates (+225) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-275) on Sunday, August 11, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA.

This season, the Pirates are 56-60 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 57-60 ATS.

Pirates vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:

• Pirates starting pitcher: Bailey Falter 5-7, 3.89 ERA
• Dodgers starting pitcher: Tyler Glasnow 9-6, 3.54 ERA

Pirates vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Pirates vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 69.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:

• Joey Bart has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games (+20.20 Units / 253% ROI)
• Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 24 away games (+15.80 Units / 34% ROI)
• Bryan Reynolds has hit the Singles Over in 30 of his last 45 games (+12.75 Units / 23% ROI)
• Bryan Reynolds has hit the Total Bases Over in 30 of his last 50 games (+11.60 Units / 21% ROI)
• Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 28 of his last 43 games (+11.45 Units / 23% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 18 games (+19.50 Units / 108% ROI)
• Jason Heyward has hit the Singles Under in 32 of his last 41 games (+17.25 Units / 26% ROI)
• Amed Rosario has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 24 games (+12.55 Units / 29% ROI)
• Gavin Lux has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 games (+11.95 Units / 41% ROI)
• Gavin Lux has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 21 games (+11.70 Units / 50% ROI)

Pirates Best Bets Today:

• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 46 of their last 77 games (+14.60 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 39 games (+10.10 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 54 games (+7.95 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 35 away games (+5.95 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 19 away games (+5.30 Units / 26% ROI)

Dodgers Best Bets Today:

• The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+8.80 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.95 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.80 Units / 35% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 15 games at home (+5.25 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.10 Units / 34% ROI)

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 64-52 against the Run Line (+9.51 Units / 6.34% ROI).

• 56-60 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.35 Units / -3.97% ROI
• 54-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.85 Units / -7.65% ROI
• 58-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.62 Units / -0.49% ROI

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 57-60 against the Run Line (-9.45 Units / -6.65% ROI).

• 68-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.15 Units / -6.42% ROI
• 61-55 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.6 Units / 0.47% ROI
• 55-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.1 Units / -9.37% ROI

Dodgers vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today

Dodgers vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Dodgers vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today

Dodgers vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a line drive rate of 33% (34/102) against Bailey Falter with runners in scoring position since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 110 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.

Bailey Falter has thrown inside pitches 43% of the time (322/742) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 110 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 99th Percentile.

Bailey Falter has thrown inside pitches 46% of the time (504/1,105) against right-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 46 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.

The average home run distance against Bailey Falter in the 2023 season was 384.5 feet — 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 399.8

Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Tyler Glasnow has a strikeout rate of 61% (79 SO in 129 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.

Tyler Glasnow has allowed an OBP of just .191 (188 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .293 — 100th Percentile.

Tyler Glasnow has struck out 34% (80/238) of left-handed batters he faced this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Tyler Glasnow has allowed a slugging percentage of just .127 (16 Total Bases / 126 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .306 — 100th Percentile.

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

  
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