The Pittsburgh Pirates (+145) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-175) on Friday, July 26, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.

This season, the Pirates are 52-50 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 53-50 ATS.

Pirates vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:

• Pirates starting pitcher: Luis Ortiz 0-0, 26.99 ERA
• Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zac Gallen 7-5, 3.65 ERA

Pirates vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Pirates vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Friday‘s MLB game with 58.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:

• Rowdy Tellez has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 away games (+14.40 Units / 180% ROI)
• Nick Gonzales has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 23 away games (+10.00 Units / 36% ROI)
• Andrew McCutchen has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 10 of his last 12 away games (+8.15 Units / 60% ROI)
• Nick Gonzales has hit the RBIs Over in 8 of his last 14 games (+7.75 Units / 55% ROI)
• Andrew McCutchen has hit the Walks Under in 10 of his last 14 away games (+4.35 Units / 21% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Eugenio Suarez has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 14 games (+27.30 Units / 195% ROI)
• Joc Pederson has hit the Walks Under in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+14.15 Units / 31% ROI)
• Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+13.95 Units / 77% ROI)
• Ketel Marte has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 23 games (+12.05 Units / 52% ROI)
• Joc Pederson has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 16 games at home (+9.25 Units / 58% ROI)

Pirates Best Bets Today:

• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 40 games (+13.05 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 54 of their last 91 games (+12.95 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 58 games (+10.30 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 63 games (+10.30 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 58 games (+8.90 Units / 13% ROI)

Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:

• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 47 games (+14.25 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 34 of their last 55 games (+11.20 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 38 games (+10.90 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 38 games (+10.55 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 46 games (+8.90 Units / 16% ROI)

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 55-47 against the Run Line (+5.21 Units / 3.94% ROI).

• 52-50 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.8 Units / 0.67% ROI
• 45-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.25 Units / -11.69% ROI
• 53-45 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.48 Units / 4.03% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 53-50 against the Run Line (-3.5 Units / -2.52% ROI).

• 53-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.85 Units / -0.67% ROI
• 54-46 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.9 Units / 2.53% ROI
• 46-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.8 Units / -11.4% ROI

Diamondbacks vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Luis Ortiz has a strikeout rate of just 6% (1 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — tied for 2nd lowest among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 21% — eighth Percentile.

Left-handed hitters are hitting just .000 (0-for-19) against Luis Ortiz in his last two starts — tied for best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .238 — 100th Percentile.

The last hit on a Luis Ortiz changeup was August 23rd, 2023. Hitters are 0 for their last 19 in ABs ending on his changeup. — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.

Luis Ortiz has not allowed a walk in his last 69 PAs against a LHH dating back to June 8th — Matt Strahm has the longest active streak at 121.

Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Zac Gallen has walked 9 of 48 right-handed batters (19%) this month (4 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — first Percentile.

Zac Gallen has allowed an OBP of .500 (48 PA’s) against right-handed batters this month (4 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .291 — first Percentile.

Zac Gallen has walked 5 of 36 batters (14%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (4 games) — tied for 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — eighth Percentile.

Zac Gallen has allowed an OBP of .542 (24 PA’s) against right-handed batters in his last two starts — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .314 — first Percentile.

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

  
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