The Pittsburgh Pirates (+120) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-145) on Monday, September 2, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Chicago, IL.

This season, the Pirates are 63-73 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 68-69 ATS.

Pirates vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:

• Pirates starting pitcher: Jared Jones 5-7, 3.89 ERA
• Cubs starting pitcher: Jameson Taillon 9-8, 3.88 ERA

Pirates vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Pirates vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Monday‘s MLB game with 54.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:

• Yasmani Grandal has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 14 games (+22.90 Units / 164% ROI)
• Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 21 games (+13.70 Units / 40% ROI)
• Bryan Reynolds has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+12.75 Units / 34% ROI)
• Bryan Reynolds has hit the Singles Over in 25 of his last 37 games (+10.80 Units / 25% ROI)
• Jared Jones has hit the Walks Allowed Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+9.00 Units / 85% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Christian Bethancour has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games (+27.00 Units / 270% ROI)
• Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Under in 28 of his last 46 games (+19.75 Units / 43% ROI)
• Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+16.55 Units / 52% ROI)
• Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 32 of his last 46 games (+15.10 Units / 25% ROI)
• Nico Hoerner has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 28 games (+14.25 Units / 51% ROI)

Pirates Best Bets Today:

• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 56 of their last 97 games (+12.55 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Over in 35 of their last 59 games (+9.35 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 61 away games (+6.70 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 9 away games (+3.25 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 45 away games (+2.50 Units / 5% ROI)

Cubs Best Bets Today:

• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 50 games (+13.80 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 19 of their last 26 games (+11.60 Units / 38% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 49 games at home (+11.30 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 32 games (+8.85 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 12 games (+7.95 Units / 58% ROI)

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 74-62 against the Run Line (+7.46 Units / 4.22% ROI).

• 63-73 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.05 Units / -7.07% ROI
• 65-66 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.75 Units / -5.13% ROI
• 66-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.57 Units / -3.08% ROI

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 68-69 against the Run Line (-12.25 Units / -6.58% ROI).

• 71-66 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.05 Units / 1.81% ROI
• 63-69 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.05 Units / -8.64% ROI
• 69-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.2 Units / -0.13% ROI

Cubs vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today

Cubs vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Cubs vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today

Cubs vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jared Jones has struck out 31% (62/198) of left-handed batters he faced this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 97th Percentile.

Jared Jones has an average spin rate of 2538.5 RPM on fastballs this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 2236.2 — 97th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .168 (17 GB hits out of 101 GBs) against Jared Jones this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: .246 — 100th Percentile.

Jared Jones has allowed an OBP of just .250 (252 PA’s) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: .301 — 95th Percentile.

Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jameson Taillon has allowed three-ball counts to 8% of batters they faced (22/263 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.

Jameson Taillon has a strike rate of 69% (2,482/3,592) against right-handed batters since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 184 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 98th Percentile.

Jameson Taillon has walked 6 of 263 right-handed batters (2%) this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.

Jameson Taillon has allowed three-ball counts to 11% of batters they faced (112/1,000 PA’s) against right-handed batters since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 184 total IP; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

  
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