The Pittsburgh Pirates (+170) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-200) on Friday, September 30, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:15pm EDT in St. Louis.

The Cardinals are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).

The Pirates vs Cardinals Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Pirates are 59-97 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 86-70 ATS.

Pirates vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Pirates vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Friday‘s matchup with 54.3% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Pirates and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.

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Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Rodolfo Castro has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 18 away games (+13.40 Units / 43% ROI)
• Rodolfo Castro has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 21 away games (+13.15 Units / 42% ROI)
• Cal Mitchell has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+10.95 Units / 66% ROI)
• Kevin Newman has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 away games (+10.95 Units / 51% ROI)
• Kevin Newman has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 12 away games (+9.45 Units / 57% ROI)

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Corey Dickerson has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 19 games at home (+16.20 Units / 42% ROI)
• Jose Quintana has hit the Earned Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+14.30 Units / 47% ROI)
• Brendan Donovan has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 21 games at home (+10.75 Units / 49% ROI)
• Paul Goldschmidt has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 27 games (+10.45 Units / 19% ROI)
• Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.80 Units / 56% ROI)

Cardinals vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today

Cardinals vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Cardinals vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today

Cardinals vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Positive Betting Trends for the Pirates Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 27 of their last 44 away games (+8.10 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 75 away games (+7.65 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 22 away games (+7.30 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.75 Units / 38% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 47 away games (+4.05 Units / 7% ROI)

Positive Betting Trends for the Cardinals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 62 games at home (+16.65 Units / 23% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 43 of their last 62 games at home (+14.85 Units / 15% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 38 of their last 62 games at home (+11.10 Units / 15% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 17 of their last 28 games at home (+6.10 Units / 20% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.70 Units / 43% ROI)

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 78-78 against the Run Line (-6.9 Units / -3.58% ROI).

• 59-97 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.35 Units / -8.81% ROI
• 71-76 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.9 Units / -6.93% ROI
• 76-71 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.8 Units / -1.05% ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 86-70 against the Run Line (+10.65 Units / 5.44% ROI).

• 90-66 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.4 Units / 3.3% ROI
• 73-78 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.1 Units / -7.61% ROI
• 78-73 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.9 Units / -1.11% ROI

Johan Oviedo: Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Johan Oviedo has walked 14 of 89 batters (16%) this month (5 games) — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting just .093 (4-for-43) against Johan Oviedo this month (5 games) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: .249 — 100th Percentile.

Johan Oviedo has allowed a slugging percentage of just .093 (4 Total Bases / 43 ABs) against right-handed batters this month (5 games) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: .408 — 100th Percentile.

Johan Oviedo has not allowed a HR in any of his last five starts dating back to September 2nd — George Kirby has the longest active streak at 14.

Jack Flaherty: Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jack Flaherty has a strike rate of just 59% (217/368) this month (4 games) — tied for 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 65% — third Percentile.

Jack Flaherty has allowed an OBP of .348 (46 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (4 games) — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: .232 — fourth Percentile.

Jack Flaherty has a first-pitch strike rate of just 51% (49/97) this month (4 games) — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 63% — second Percentile.

Jack Flaherty has allowed an OBP of .385 (96 PA’s) this month (4 games) — 11th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: .302 — sixth Percentile.

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

  
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