The Pittsburgh Pirates (+115) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-135) on Thursday, September 19, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in St. Louis, MO.
This season, the Pirates are 71-81 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 78-74 ATS.
Pirates vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Pirates starting pitcher: Luis Ortiz 0-0, 26.99 ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Erick Fedde 8-9, 3.45 ERA
Pirates vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Pirates vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 53.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Pirates vs Cardinals and all games with BetMGM
$1500 First Bet Offer
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:
- Joey Bart has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 30 games (+17.50 Units / 58% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+12.60 Units / 33% ROI)
- Yasmani Grandal has hit the Walks Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+10.90 Units / 136% ROI)
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Hits Under in his last 7 games (+8.40 Units / 111% ROI)
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 7 games (+8.40 Units / 111% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Masyn Winn has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 24 games at home (+31.50 Units / 131% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 23 games at home (+13.70 Units / 45% ROI)
- Masyn Winn has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+12.20 Units / 23% ROI)
- Jordan Walker has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.45 Units / 37% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+9.00 Units / 23% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Over in 43 of their last 75 games (+8.45 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 62 of their last 113 games (+7.92 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 37 of their last 67 away games (+6.55 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 away games (+5.15 Units / 32% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 27 games (+7.25 Units / 24% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 23 games at home (+7.20 Units / 29% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 31 games (+6.70 Units / 15% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.05 Units / 42% ROI)
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 80-72 against the Run Line (+2.83 Units / 1.44% ROI).
- 71-81 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.02 Units / -6.78% ROI
- 73-74 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.75 Units / -5.18% ROI
- 74-73 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.22 Units / -3.15% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 78-74 against the Run Line (-4.3 Units / -2.07% ROI).
- 77-75 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.55 Units / -4.15% ROI
- 70-76 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.17 Units / -8.52% ROI
- 76-70 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.25 Units / -0.75% ROI
Cardinals vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) |
0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) |
0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) |
0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Bryan De La Cruz (PIT) |
0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) |
0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
Cardinals vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Masyn Winn (STL) |
0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Nick Gonzales (PIT) |
0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) |
0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Brendan Donovan (STL) |
0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Bryan De La Cruz (PIT) |
0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Cardinals vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) |
0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) |
0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Bryan De La Cruz (PIT) |
0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) |
0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) |
0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Cardinals vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Erick Fedde (STL) |
4.5 -150 | 4.5 +110 |
| Luis Ortiz (PIT) |
4.5 +125 | 4.5 -160 |
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Ortiz has walked 54 of 443 batters (12%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 125 total IP; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of 53% (61/116) against Luis Ortiz when going through the lineup the third time in a game since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 125 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .266 (57-for-214) against Luis Ortiz in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: .330 — 99th Percentile.
Luis Ortiz has a strike rate of just 64% (592/927) when he’s behind in the count since the 2022 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 190 total IP; League Avg: 69% — fourth Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Erick Fedde has a strike rate of just 50% (503/1,008) when ahead in the count this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — third Percentile.
Erick Fedde has a strike rate of just 58% (490/851) in two strike counts this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — third Percentile.
Erick Fedde has a strike rate of just 61% (1,670/2,719) this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — seventh Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% (264/1,228) against Erick Fedde this season — 7th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 12th Percentile.