The Pittsburgh Pirates (+165) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-200) on Wednesday, September 18, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT in St. Louis, MO.

This season, the Pirates are 71-80 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 77-74 ATS.

Pirates vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:

• Pirates starting pitcher: Jake Woodford 0-6, 7.93 ERA
• Cardinals starting pitcher: Sonny Gray 13-9, 3.76 ERA

Pirates vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Pirates vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 59.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:

• Joey Bart has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 29 games (+18.50 Units / 64% ROI)
• Bryan Reynolds has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+12.60 Units / 33% ROI)
• Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 14 away games (+12.10 Units / 53% ROI)
• Yasmani Grandal has hit the Walks Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+10.90 Units / 136% ROI)
• Rowdy Tellez has hit the Hits Under in his last 7 games (+8.40 Units / 111% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Masyn Winn has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 23 games at home (+23.00 Units / 100% ROI)
• Nolan Arenado has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 22 games at home (+12.25 Units / 42% ROI)
• Masyn Winn has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 24 games at home (+11.20 Units / 22% ROI)
• Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 22 games (+10.25 Units / 27% ROI)
• Sonny Gray has hit the Strikeouts Over in 20 of his last 28 games (+10.05 Units / 28% ROI)

Pirates Best Bets Today:

• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 62 of their last 112 games (+9.02 Units / 6% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 37 of their last 66 away games (+7.55 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Over in 42 of their last 74 games (+7.30 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 away games (+6.40 Units / 43% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 games (+0.73 Units / 3% ROI)

Cardinals Best Bets Today:

• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games at home (+8.20 Units / 34% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.25 Units / 54% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 26 games (+6.25 Units / 22% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 30 games (+5.70 Units / 13% ROI)

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 80-71 against the Run Line (+3.93 Units / 2.01% ROI).

• 71-80 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.02 Units / -6.25% ROI
• 72-74 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.75 Units / -5.81% ROI
• 74-72 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.22 Units / -2.56% ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 77-74 against the Run Line (-5.3 Units / -2.57% ROI).

• 76-75 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.55 Units / -4.75% ROI
• 69-76 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.17 Units / -9.18% ROI
• 76-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.25 Units / -0.15% ROI

Cardinals vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today

Cardinals vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Cardinals vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today

Cardinals vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Luis Ortiz has walked 54 of 443 batters (12%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: 8% — fourth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .159 (24-for-151) against Luis Ortiz versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: .252 — 99th Percentile.

Luis Ortiz has allowed a BABIP of .205 vs left-handed batters this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: .288 — 97th Percentile.

Luis Ortiz has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 92.4 MPH in the 2023 season (287 balls in play) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 89.2

Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Sonny Gray has a strikeout rate of 58% (195 SO in 338 PAs) with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .107 (34-for-318) against Sonny Gray with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .163 — 100th Percentile.

Sonny Gray has allowed an OBP of just .160 (338 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — 100th Percentile.

Sonny Gray has allowed an OPS of just .323 (338 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .486 — 100th Percentile.

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

  
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