The Pittsburgh Pirates (-145) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (+120) on Monday, September 16, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT in St. Louis, MO.

This season, the Pirates are 71-78 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 75-74 ATS.

Pirates vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:

• Pirates starting pitcher: Paul Skenes 10-2, 2.10 ERA
• Cardinals starting pitcher: Andre Pallante 6-8, 4.11 ERA

Pirates vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Pirates vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Monday‘s MLB game with 57.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:

• Joey Bart has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 27 games (+20.50 Units / 76% ROI)
• Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 13 away games (+13.85 Units / 65% ROI)
• Bryan Reynolds has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 23 away games (+10.60 Units / 30% ROI)
• Yasmani Grandal has hit the Walks Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+9.70 Units / 139% ROI)
• Joey Bart has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 28 games (+9.45 Units / 31% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Masyn Winn has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 25 games at home (+30.00 Units / 120% ROI)
• Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Under in 24 of his last 28 games (+17.20 Units / 36% ROI)
• Nolan Arenado has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+12.25 Units / 46% ROI)
• Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 42 games (+11.35 Units / 12% ROI)
• Jordan Walker has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.05 Units / 42% ROI)

Pirates Best Bets Today:

• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 62 of their last 110 games (+11.67 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Over in 42 of their last 72 games (+9.75 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 46 games (+6.95 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 12 away games (+4.25 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 15 games (+3.08 Units / 16% ROI)

Cardinals Best Bets Today:

• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+6.20 Units / 28% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.25 Units / 50% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 24 games (+4.10 Units / 16% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 28 games (+3.30 Units / 8% ROI)

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 80-69 against the Run Line (+6.58 Units / 3.42% ROI).

• 71-78 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.67 Units / -4.98% ROI
• 72-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.45 Units / -4.5% ROI
• 72-72 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.22 Units / -3.82% ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 75-74 against the Run Line (-7.7 Units / -3.77% ROI).

• 74-75 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.7 Units / -6.03% ROI
• 69-74 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.87 Units / -7.9% ROI
• 74-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.25 Units / -1.38% ROI

Cardinals vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today

Cardinals vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Cardinals vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today

Cardinals vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Paul Skenes has a strikeout rate of 41% (54 SO in 132 PAs) versus the bottom of the order this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 59 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Paul Skenes has struck out 50% (11/22) of left-handed batters he faced this month (2 games) — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Paul Skenes has a strikeout rate of 37% (46 SO in 123 PAs) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 59 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Paul Skenes has a strikeout rate of 32% (151 SO in 468 PAs) this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 59 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 98th Percentile.

Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 73% (323/440) against Andre Pallante since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 188 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 68% (128/189) against Andre Pallante in two-strike counts since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 76% (214/282) against Andre Pallante since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 66% (203/309) against Andre Pallante in two-strike counts since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 188 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

  
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