The Pittsburgh Pirates (+165) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-200) on Saturday, April 15, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:15pm EDT in St. Louis.

The Cardinals are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).

The Pirates vs Cardinals Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

This season, the Pirates are 8-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 7-7 ATS.

Pirates vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Pirates vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Pirates and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:

• Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 13 games (+10.55 Units / 65% ROI)
• Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.50 Units / 31% ROI)
• Carlos Santana has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+7.85 Units / 37% ROI)
• Bryan Reynolds has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+7.40 Units / 52% ROI)
• Bryan Reynolds has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 63% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Nolan Arenado has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+8.95 Units / 54% ROI)
• Jordan Walker has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+7.45 Units / 51% ROI)
• Willson Contreras has hit the Runs Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.05 Units / 51% ROI)
• Tommy Edman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.60 Units / 52% ROI)
• Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+6.20 Units / 22% ROI)

Cardinals vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today

Cardinals vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Cardinals vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today

Cardinals vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Pirates Best Bets Today:

• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+5.75 Units / 50% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 5 away games (+5.50 Units / 96% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.85 Units / 61% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+3.65 Units / 73% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 3 away games (+3.60 Units / 111% ROI)

Cardinals Best Bets Today:

• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 10 games (+8.65 Units / 79% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 10 games (+7.95 Units / 73% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.70 Units / 50% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 4 games (+1.85 Units / 38% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 1 of their last 3 games (+1.00 Units / 18% ROI)

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 7-7 against the Run Line (-2.3 Units / -11.92% ROI).

• 8-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.95 Units / 34.38% ROI
• 6-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.5 Units / -16.34% ROI
• 8-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.6 Units / 10.32% ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 7-7 against the Run Line (-1.1 Units / -6.21% ROI).

• 6-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.65 Units / -23.97% ROI
• 4-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.9 Units / -45.39% ROI
• 10-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.4 Units / 34.5% ROI

Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Roansy Contreras has walked 5 of 26 right-handed batters (19%) this season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 8% — fourth Percentile.

The last hit on a Roansy Contreras curveball was August 22nd, 2022. Hitters are 0 for their last 23 in ABs ending on his curveball. — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.

Roansy Contreras has allowed a slugging percentage of just .095 (2 Total Bases / 21 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .384 — 97th Percentile.

Roansy Contreras has located his pitches away 67% of the time (707/1,050) against right-handed batters since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 99th Percentile.

Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed batters are hitting .487 (19-for-39) against Steven Matz this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .259 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .404 (19-for-47) against Steven Matz this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .256 — third Percentile.

Steven Matz has allowed a BABIP of .548 against right-handed batters this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .309 — second Percentile.

  
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