The Pittsburgh Pirates (+125) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-155) on Friday, April 14, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:15pm EDT in St. Louis.

The Cardinals are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).

The Pirates vs Cardinals Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

This season, the Pirates are 8-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 6-7 ATS.

Pirates vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Pirates vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Pirates and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:

• Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 13 games (+10.55 Units / 65% ROI)
• Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.50 Units / 36% ROI)
• Carlos Santana has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+7.85 Units / 37% ROI)
• Bryan Reynolds has hit the RBIs Over in his last 4 away games (+6.55 Units / 164% ROI)
• Bryan Reynolds has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+6.45 Units / 50% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Nolan Arenado has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.00 Units / 52% ROI)
• Jordan Walker has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+7.45 Units / 51% ROI)
• Willson Contreras has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 7 games (+7.10 Units / 69% ROI)
• Dylan Carlson has hit the Runs Over in his last 4 games at home (+6.10 Units / 149% ROI)
• Willson Contreras has hit the Runs Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.05 Units / 50% ROI)

Cardinals vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today

Cardinals vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Cardinals vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today

Cardinals vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Pirates Best Bets Today:

• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+6.75 Units / 65% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 4 away games (+4.50 Units / 98% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in their last 4 away games (+4.20 Units / 76% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.85 Units / 57% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 away games (+3.65 Units / 91% ROI)

Cardinals Best Bets Today:

• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 9 games (+7.65 Units / 79% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.95 Units / 71% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.70 Units / 46% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 2 of their last 3 games (+0.60 Units / 16% ROI)

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 7-6 against the Run Line (-0.85 Units / -4.76% ROI).

• 8-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.95 Units / 44.4% ROI
• 6-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.45 Units / -10.18% ROI
• 7-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.6 Units / 4.18% ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 6-7 against the Run Line (-2.35 Units / -14.07% ROI).

• 5-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.65 Units / -31.65% ROI
• 4-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.85 Units / -41.34% ROI
• 9-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.4 Units / 30.34% ROI

Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of 56% (9/16) against Johan Oviedo with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 99th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 68% (13/19) against Johan Oviedo this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 98th Percentile.

Johan Oviedo has located his pitches away 64% of the time (29/45) when behind in the count this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 97th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 62% (23/37) against Johan Oviedo this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 96th Percentile.

Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 16% (56/345) against Jake Woodford since the 2021 season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 27% — first Percentile.

Opponents had a miss rate of just 17% (59/346) against Jake Woodford in 2022 — 3rd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (77/422) against Jake Woodford since last season — 4th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 28% — first Percentile.

  
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