The Pittsburgh Pirates (+125) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-150) on Wednesday, July 10, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.

This season, the Pirates are 44-47 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 47-45 ATS.

Pirates vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:

• Pirates starting pitcher: Martin Perez 1-4, 4.77 ERA
• Brewers starting pitcher: Tobias Myers 5-3, 3.56 ERA

Pirates vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Pirates vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 53.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:

• Bryan Reynolds has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 31 games (+13.45 Units / 43% ROI)
• Nick Gonzales has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 away games (+12.65 Units / 35% ROI)
• Bryan Reynolds has hit the Singles Over in 24 of his last 35 games (+11.75 Units / 28% ROI)
• Nick Gonzales has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+11.20 Units / 40% ROI)
• Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 21 games (+9.75 Units / 37% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Sal Frelick has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 12 games at home (+16.00 Units / 133% ROI)
• Willy Adames has hit the Walks Over in 13 of his last 21 games (+12.50 Units / 60% ROI)
• Willy Adames has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+12.50 Units / 49% ROI)
• Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.95 Units / 38% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+11.05 Units / 21% ROI)

Pirates Best Bets Today:

• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 49 of their last 80 games (+15.10 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 47 games (+11.05 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 47 games (+11.00 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 52 games (+9.20 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 29 games (+8.30 Units / 26% ROI)

Brewers Best Bets Today:

• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 29 games at home (+12.45 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 29 games at home (+10.55 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 88 games (+10.10 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 53 of their last 92 games (+9.45 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 29 games at home (+7.75 Units / 23% ROI)

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 49-42 against the Run Line (+4.11 Units / 3.45% ROI).

• 44-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.65 Units / -4.39% ROI
• 42-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.1 Units / -7.04% ROI
• 45-42 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.27 Units / -0.27% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 47-45 against the Run Line (-0.9 Units / -0.75% ROI).

• 53-39 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.35 Units / 9.88% ROI
• 49-38 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.9 Units / 7.86% ROI
• 38-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.9 Units / -15.61% ROI

Brewers vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .398 (41-for-103) against Martin Perez versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: .252 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 7% (3/42) against Martin Perez this month (1 games) — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.

Martin Perez has allowed a slugging percentage of .754 (49 Total Bases / 65 ABs) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: .433 — first Percentile.

Martin Perez has located his fastball inside 48% of the time (732/1,510) since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 100 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 98th Percentile.

Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Left-handed batters are hitting .458 (11-for-24) against Tobias Myers — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .240 — first Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of 58% (31/53) against Tobias Myers on the first pitch of at-bats over the last 14 days — highest among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of 58% (31/53) against Tobias Myers on the first pitch of at-bats — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 33% — 100th Percentile.

Tobias Myers has allowed an OPS of 1.286 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — highest among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .633 — first Percentile.

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

  
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