The Pittsburgh Pirates (+170) visit TD Ballpark to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-210) on Monday, February 26, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 1:07pm EST in Dunedin, FL.
Last season, the Pirates were 76-86 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays were 75-89 ATS.
Pirates vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Pirates vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Monday‘s matchup with 53.5% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:
- Canaan Smith-Njigba has hit the Singles Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.85 Units / 41% ROI)
- Jason Delay has hit the Singles Over in his last 2 away games (+3.30 Units / 165% ROI)
- Canaan Smith-Njigba has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.25 Units / 112% ROI)
- Jack Suwinski has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Canaan Smith-Njigba has hit the Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 away games (+1.40 Units / 35% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Tyler Heineman has hit the Runs Over in his last 2 games (+4.10 Units / 205% ROI)
- Santiago Espinal has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- Nathan Lukes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 70% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 67 games (+15.85 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 69 of their last 120 games (+15.10 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 76 of their last 134 games (+11.44 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 65 games (+10.67 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 63 games (+10.50 Units / 13% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 40 of their last 66 games at home (+12.34 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 111 games (+11.50 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.66 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 9 games at home (+1.85 Units / 15% ROI)
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread last MLB season, the Pirates went 84-78 against the Run Line (-12.7 Units / -5.93% ROI).
- 76-86 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.65 Units / 4.89% ROI
- 87-70 when betting on the total runs Over for +10.15 Units / 5.7% ROI
- 70-87 when betting on the total runs Under for -25.55 Units / -14.31% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread last MLB season, the Blue Jays went 75-89 against the Run Line (-17.55 Units / -8.6% ROI).
- 89-75 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.6 Units / -6.13% ROI
- 72-85 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.4 Units / -11.38% ROI
- 85-72 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.5 Units / 3.03% ROI
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Roansy Contreras had an ERA of 6.59 (68.1 IP)in the 2023 season — 9th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 4.28 — fifth Percentile.
43 of Roansy Contreras’ 55 strikeouts (78%) came on non-fastballs in the 2023 season — 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 55% — 95th Percentile.
Roansy Contreras threw his slider 44% of the time (503/1,141) in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total SL; League Avg: 23% — 99th Percentile.
Roansy Contreras walked 32 of 302 batters (11%) in the 2023 season — tied for 14th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 8% — eighth Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents batted .255 (165-for-646) against Yusei Kikuchi in the 2023 season — tied for 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .239 — 13th Percentile.
51% of Yusei Kikuchi’s non-fastball strikeouts were located inside in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.
Yusei Kikuchi had a strike rate of 71% (544/761) on sliders in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 63% — 98th Percentile.
Yusei Kikuchi has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 86.6 MPH on pitches out of the zone since last season (138 balls in play) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 80.6