The Pittsburgh Pirates (-130) visit Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+110) on Tuesday, April 30, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Oakland, CA.

This season, the Pirates are 14-15 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 15-14 ATS.

Pirates vs Athletics Starting Pitchers Today:

• Pirates starting pitcher: Mitch Keller 2-2, 5.15 ERA
• Athletics starting pitcher: Alex Wood 1-2, 6.76 ERA

Pirates vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Pirates vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 57.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:

• Oneil Cruz has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 19 games (+16.65 Units / 50% ROI)
• Joey Bart has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games (+11.90 Units / 198% ROI)
• Oneil Cruz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.65 Units / 49% ROI)
• Alika Williams has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.00 Units / 68% ROI)
• Alika Williams has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.95 Units / 67% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Seth Brown has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 19 games (+13.10 Units / 36% ROI)
• Tyler Nevin has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+11.90 Units / 297% ROI)
• Tyler Nevin has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.30 Units / 41% ROI)
• JJ Bleday has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 11 games at home (+6.15 Units / 56% ROI)
• Esteury Ruiz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 80% ROI)

Pirates Best Bets Today:

• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 67 games (+15.85 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 69 of their last 120 games (+15.10 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 76 of their last 134 games (+11.44 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 65 games (+10.67 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 63 games (+10.50 Units / 13% ROI)

Athletics Best Bets Today:

• The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 74 of their last 128 games (+12.88 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 15 games (+11.14 Units / 60% ROI)
• The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 84 games (+9.75 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 53 games at home (+5.20 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+3.10 Units / 60% ROI)

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 16-13 against the Run Line (+0.26 Units / 0.63% ROI).

• 14-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.6 Units / -1.87% ROI
• 13-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.45 Units / -13.87% ROI
• 16-13 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.03 Units / 6.4% ROI

Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Athletics are 15-14 against the Run Line (-2.85 Units / -7.84% ROI).

• 12-17 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.25 Units / 7.56% ROI
• 13-15 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.45 Units / -10.97% ROI
• 15-13 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.4 Units / 1.24% ROI

Athletics vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today

Athletics vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Athletics vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today

Athletics vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Mitch Keller has allowed an OBP of .354 (619 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .289 — seventh Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .284 (158-for-556) against Mitch Keller when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — seventh Percentile.

Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 6% (1/17) against Mitch Keller on sliders this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 33% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 14% (6/43) against Mitch Keller on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 8th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — ninth Percentile.

Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Alex Wood has allowed an OBP of .444 (133 PA’s) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .298 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .391 (18-for-46) against Alex Wood when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: .233 — second Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .391 (18-for-46) against Alex Wood when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .228 — first Percentile.

Alex Wood has allowed a slugging percentage of .574 (66 Total Bases / 115 ABs) this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: .389 — second Percentile.

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics

  
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