Week 9 of the NFL season has arrived, and to say it’s been a great year for the Pickswise NFL handicapping team would be a major understatement. Our team is 73-50-1 on spreads this season, which is a 59.3% success rate! If you bet on every spread pick on the recommended unit sizes, then you would be up +33.7 units of profit. As for our'NFL Best Bets, the team are a combined 33-15 on 3-star plays, which is a 69% success rate. Now they’re back for more, so let’s dive into 4 of our NFL Week 9 best bets.
Don’t miss any of our NFL picks for Week 9 – we're 73-50-1 on spreads this season (+33.7 units!)
Jared Smith: Raiders -1 over Jaguars (-110)
My favorite trend of the week comes from this game, and while trends should never be treated as a magic bullet when betting the NFL, I think this one in particular holds a little extra weight because of the circumstances attached to it. Since 2015, teams have gone 25-10-3 ATS the week after being shutout, a dubious distinction the Raiders carry with them this week after getting blanked in the Big Easy last Sunday.
At this time of the year when the lines begin to sharpen, I look for outlier performances like that to create some hidden value in the market the following week. Considering how bad the Jags played in London, and we'll get to that in a minute, it is fair to say even an average performance in a losing effort for the Raiders in New Orleans would have resulted in this line reopening much higher than essentially a pick'em.