Week 12 of the 2022 NFL season has arrived, and things have already gotten off to a wild start with the Thanksgiving slate giving us 3 crazy games. Despite there being a ton of chaos this season, our Pickswise NFL handicappers have been crushing it. We’re 95-68-4 on our spread picks for a profit of +38.1 units, while our NFL Best Bets are an impressive 38-24 for +32.13 units. Now they’re back this week with their top picks for the action. Without further ado, let’s dive into our NFL Week 12 best bets.
Don’t miss any of our NFL picks for Week 12 – we're up +38.1 units on sides this season!
Jared Smith: Titans +3 over Bengals (-110)
This is my favorite game of the week for pure entertainment value, but I believe it offers some modest betting value as well. Mike Vrabel excels as an underdog in his career going 22-12 ATS with 20 of those victories straight up. The revenge angle is also noteworthy here. Cincinnati upset Tennessee 19-16 in the AFC Divisional Playoff just 10 months ago, sending the league's top seed home empty-handed in the postseason.
Up front, Cincinnati has struggled to protect Joe Burrow this season grading out 31st in pass block win rate. They've held up well in the running game but that's the strength of the Titans’ defense which have the top rush DVOA in the league. On offense, the Titans are blocking well up front and Ryan Tannehill is his usual efficient self, making the best out of a relatively pedestrian group of receivers. Derrick Henry could be in for a big day against a Bengals front that's 31st in run-stop win rate this season.