The Philadelphia Phillies (+125) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-150) on Tuesday, April 4, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Bronx.

The Yankees are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).

The Phillies vs Yankees Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Phillies are 0-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 3-1 ATS.

Phillies vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Phillies vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 66.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Phillies and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:

• Kyle Schwarber has hit the RBIs Over in his last 2 games (+4.05 Units / 203% ROI)
• Rhys Hoskins has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.35 Units / 89% ROI)
• Nick Castellanos has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 65% ROI)
• Bryson Stott has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.50 Units / 125% ROI)
• Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.50 Units / 31% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Josh Donaldson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 4 games (+4.50 Units / 99% ROI)
• Jose Trevino has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.65 Units / 122% ROI)
• Oswaldo Cabrera has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 77% ROI)
• Oswaldo Cabrera has hit the Singles Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 44% ROI)
• Aaron Hicks has hit the Singles Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 42% ROI)

Yankees vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yankees vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Yankees vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today

Yankees vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 41 of their last 70 away games (+11.70 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 55 of their last 94 away games (+11.28 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 49 of their last 94 away games (+0.50 Units / 0% ROI)

Yankees Best Bets Today:

• The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 62 of their last 90 games at home (+14.15 Units / 8% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 49 of their last 84 games at home (+12.65 Units / 13% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 86 of their last 175 games (+6.90 Units / 2% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Over in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 92% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 89 of their last 175 games (+0.75 Units / 0% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 1-3 against the Run Line (-3.3 Units / -54.1% ROI).

• 0-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.25 Units / -100% ROI
• 3-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.9 Units / 41.3% ROI
• 1-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.1 Units / -50% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 3-1 against the Run Line (+3.1 Units / 77.5% ROI).

• 3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.6 Units / 26.23% ROI
• 2-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.25 Units / -5.56% ROI
• 2-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.15 Units / -3.49% ROI

Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Matt Strahm did not induce opposing hitters to ground into a double play in 22 opportunities (0%) in close and late situations in 2022 — tied for lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — ninth Percentile.

Matt Strahm located 45% of his pitches inside (340/764) in 2022 — tied for 3rd highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 99th Percentile.

40% of Matt Strahm’s fastball strikeouts were located inside in 2022 — tied for 13th highest among among 126 qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 90th Percentile.

Matt Strahm threw at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 73% (106/145) of opposing batters in 2022 — tied for 15th highest among among 209 qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 93rd Percentile.

Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Domingo German has thrown his curveball 34% of the time (641/1,910) in non-two strike counts since the 2021 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total CB; League Avg: 15% — 98th Percentile.

Domingo German has allowed a slugging percentage of .644 (65 Total Bases / 101 ABs) on fastballs away since the 2021 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: .390 — 0 Percentile.

Domingo German has thrown his curveball 39% of the time (553/1,414) against right-handed batters since the 2021 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total CB; League Avg: 14% — 98th Percentile.

  
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