The Philadelphia Phillies (-155) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+125) on Saturday, May 13, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Denver.

The Phillies are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Phillies vs Rockies Over/Under is 11.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Phillies are 19-19 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 18-21 ATS.

Phillies vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Phillies vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 63.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Phillies and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:

• Nick Castellanos has hit the Runs Over in 19 of his last 32 games (+12.20 Units / 38% ROI)
• J.T. Realmuto has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+11.60 Units / 42% ROI)
• Trea Turner has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 21 away games (+10.05 Units / 24% ROI)
• Nick Castellanos has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 30 games (+9.40 Units / 15% ROI)
• Kyle Schwarber has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 22 games (+8.90 Units / 32% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Kris Bryant has hit the Singles Over in 24 of his last 36 games (+9.45 Units / 21% ROI)
• Jurickson Profar has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 41% ROI)
• Kris Bryant has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+8.60 Units / 32% ROI)
• Harold Castro has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.35 Units / 48% ROI)
• Elias Diaz has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.50 Units / 51% ROI)

Rockies vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Rockies vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Rockies vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today

Rockies vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 21 games (+5.45 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 37 games (+4.70 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 away games (+4.30 Units / 46% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+3.00 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+2.20 Units / 44% ROI)

Rockies Best Bets Today:

• The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 20 games (+11.20 Units / 52% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 20 games (+10.35 Units / 51% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games at home (+8.85 Units / 44% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games (+8.40 Units / 52% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 27 games (+8.15 Units / 28% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 16-22 against the Run Line (-11.5 Units / -22.55% ROI).

• 19-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.85 Units / -9.13% ROI
• 17-20 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.75 Units / -11.35% ROI
• 20-17 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.65 Units / 3.94% ROI

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 18-21 against the Run Line (-5.5 Units / -11.98% ROI).

• 16-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.2 Units / -2.89% ROI
• 16-23 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.8 Units / -22.35% ROI
• 23-16 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.85 Units / 13.91% ROI

Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of 63% (98/156) against Ranger Suarez in two-strike counts since last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 79 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 99th Percentile.

Ranger Suarez has a strike rate of just 61% (1,267/2,080) against right-handed batters since last season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 79 total IP; League Avg: 65% — third Percentile.

Ranger Suarez has a strike rate of just 59% (322/547) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since last season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 79 total IP; League Avg: 65% — third Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 56% (265/473) against Ranger Suarez since last season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 79 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 97th Percentile.

Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Ryan Feltner has allowed an OBP of .577 (26 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: .325 — first Percentile.

Ryan Feltner has walked 16 of 98 batters (16%) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 15% (6/41) against Ryan Feltner on low breaking pitches this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: 40% — second Percentile.

  
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