The Philadelphia Phillies (-185) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+150) on Tuesday, August 16, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cincinnati.
The Phillies are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-115).
The Phillies vs Reds Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Phillies are 64-51 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 54-60 ATS.
Phillies vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Phillies vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 54.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Phillies and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.
Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Reds vs Phillies and all MLB games with BetMGM
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Reds vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Albert Almora Jr. | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Aristides Aquino | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -550 |
| Donovan Solano | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Jake Fraley | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Joey Votto | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -500 |
Reds vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Albert Almora Jr. | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Aristides Aquino | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +105 |
| Donovan Solano | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jake Fraley | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
| Joey Votto | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
Reds vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Albert Almora Jr. | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -300 |
| Aristides Aquino | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
| Donovan Solano | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jake Fraley | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Joey Votto | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -165 |
Reds vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| T.J. Zeuch | 3.5 +110 | 3.5 -155 |
| Kyle Gibson | 4.5 -115 | 4.5 -115 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Phillies Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Reds: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 60-55 against the Run Line (+4.15 Units / 2.97% ROI).
- 64-51 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.55 Units / 3.5% ROI
- 55-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.25 Units / -3.35% ROI
- 54-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.2 Units / -4.9% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 54-60 against the Run Line (-11.7 Units / -8.3% ROI).
- 45-69 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.9 Units / -9.75% ROI
- 57-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.25 Units / -3.37% ROI
- 55-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.95 Units / -6.35% ROI
Kyle Gibson: Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Gibson has a strike rate of just 59% when ahead in the count (seventh lowest)– 12th Percentile and 74% when behind in the count this season (tied for fourth highest among qualified SPs)– 94th Percentile.
Kyle Gibson has a first-pitch strike rate of just 58% (293/505) this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — eighth Percentile.
Kyle Gibson has located his fastball up for a strike just 49% (303/616) of the time since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 137 total IP; League Avg: 60% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 33% (206/616) against Kyle Gibson on elevated fastballs since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 137 total IP; League Avg: 49% — second Percentile.
Timothy James Zeuch: Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
T.J. Zeuch has allowed at least one HR in each of his last five games dating back to April 9th, 2021 — Josiah Gray has the longest active streak at 9.