The Philadelphia Phillies (-115) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-105) on Saturday, April 15, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Cincinnati.
The Phillies are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Phillies vs Reds Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Phillies are 5-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 9-4 ATS.
Phillies vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Phillies vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 67.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Phillies and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Phillies vs Reds and all games with BetMGM
Get up to $1,000 First Bet Offer
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Bryson Stott has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 11 games (+12.25 Units / 82% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Hits Over in his last 9 away games (+11.00 Units / 61% ROI)
- Bryson Stott has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.90 Units / 81% ROI)
- Bryson Stott has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.00 Units / 49% ROI)
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.40 Units / 69% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+9.15 Units / 62% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+9.10 Units / 69% ROI)
- Jason Vosler has hit the Singles Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- TJ Friedl has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+7.10 Units / 62% ROI)
- TJ Friedl has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+6.90 Units / 39% ROI)
Reds vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
Jonathan India | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -900 |
Curt Casali | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1100 |
Garrett Stubbs | 0.5 +1000 | 0.5 -10000 |
Edmundo Sosa | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
Reds vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Jonathan India | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Curt Casali | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -135 |
Garrett Stubbs | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -105 |
Edmundo Sosa | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Reds vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Jonathan India | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
Curt Casali | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
Garrett Stubbs | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
Edmundo Sosa | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Reds vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Matt Strahm | 4.5 -145 | 4.5 +110 |
Graham Ashcraft | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -140 |
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.70 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 3 of their last 4 away games (+2.20 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.90 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.90 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.70 Units / 23% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.80 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+5.65 Units / 74% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.50 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.15 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.00 Units / 60% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 5-9 against the Run Line (-6.75 Units / -36.29% ROI).
- 5-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.5 Units / -34.39% ROI
- 7-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.7 Units / -4.47% ROI
- 7-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.45 Units / -2.97% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 9-4 against the Run Line (+5.8 Units / 37.06% ROI).
- 5-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.6 Units / -18.18% ROI
- 8-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.7 Units / 19.15% ROI
- 5-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.8 Units / -26.21% ROI
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 17% (17/103) against Matt Strahm since last season — tied for 7th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 94th Percentile.
Matt Strahm has thrown inside pitches 52% of the time (70/136) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 35% (36/103) against Matt Strahm since last season — 8th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — eighth Percentile.
51% of Matt Strahm’s fastball strikeouts are located out of the zone since last season — 14th highest among among 144 qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 38% — 90th Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed batters are hitting just .045 (1-for-22) against Graham Ashcraft this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .242 — 98th Percentile.
Graham Ashcraft allowed a batting average of .360 vs right-handed batters (sixth worst)– seventh Percentile and just .045 vs left-handed batters this season (second best among qualified SPs)– 98th Percentile.
Graham Ashcraft allowed a batting average of .360 vs right-handed batters (sixth worst)– seventh Percentile and just .045 vs left-handed batters over the last 30 days (second best among qualified SPs)– 98th Percentile.