Phillies vs. Pirates Odds
Friday, July 287:05 p.m. ETMLB.TV
| Phillies Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Total | Run Line |
| -162 | 8.5-105 / -115 | -1.5+100 |
| Pirates Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Total | Run Line |
| +136 | 8.5-105 / -115 | +1.5-120 |
Odds via'FanDuel.'Get up-to-the-minute'MLB odds here.Check out our'MLB Betting Hub'for more previews from today's slate.
The Philadelphia Phillies and Pittsburgh Pirates face off in a Friday night battle for Pennsylvania bragging rights.
The starting pitching matchup pits Zack Wheeler against Mitch Keller, two pitchers trending in different directions. Wheeler is lingering around the Cy Young race, while Keller had his moment in the sun a few months back, but has struggled recently. Those struggles may continue Friday, so let's dig into Phillies vs. Pirates and make a betting prediction.
Wheeler has posted ERAs of 2.92, 2.78 and 2.82 over the past three seasons. He's been about as consistent a pitcher as you'll find in baseball, which is why the start of this season was so notable. After a month, his ERA was near-5.00 it was still above 4.00 at the All-Star Break. However, Wheeler has lowered his ERA his past two starts, and there's reason to believe that trend will continue.
Wheeler's FIP (2.88) basically matches his ERA (2.82) and FIP (2.80) over the thre e seasons prior to this one. Most notably, he's had bad luck stranding runners. His left on base rate (68.8%) ranks in the bottom 10 among qualified pitchers. That 2.88 FIP ranks second among qualified pitchers this season, and thanks in part to his ability to go deep in games, no pitcher has amassed more fWAR than Wheeler this season.