The Philadelphia Phillies (-185) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (+150) on Sunday, July 31, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Pittsburgh.
The Phillies are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).
The Phillies vs Pirates Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Phillies are 54-47 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 52-49 ATS.
Phillies vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Phillies vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Sunday‘s matchup with 62.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Phillies and Pirates and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Pirates vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ben Gamel | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Kevin Newman | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Oneil Cruz | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Alec Bohm | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
Pirates vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ben Gamel | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +105 |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Kevin Newman | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Oneil Cruz | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +100 |
| Bryson Stott | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
Pirates vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ben Gamel | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -350 |
| Kevin Newman | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -500 |
| Oneil Cruz | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Alec Bohm | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
Pirates vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Nola | 6.5 -145 | 6.5 +105 |
| JT Brubaker | 4.5 -155 | 4.5 +110 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Phillies Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Pirates: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 52-49 against the Run Line (+3.25 Units / 2.65% ROI).
- 54-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.1 Units / -0.82% ROI
- 51-46 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.65 Units / 0.59% ROI
- 46-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.95 Units / -8.94% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 52-49 against the Run Line (-4.2 Units / -3.27% ROI).
- 40-61 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.65 Units / -4.41% ROI
- 41-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.8 Units / -16.08% ROI
- 54-41 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.85 Units / 7.9% ROI
Aaron Nola: Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Aaron Nola has allowed a slugging percentage of .600 (48 Total Bases / 80 ABs) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .377 — first Percentile.
Aaron Nola has walked 17 of 514 batters (3%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Aaron Nola has walked 6 of 276 right-handed batters (2%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.
Aaron Nola’s K:BB ratio is 13.8 (83/6) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.7 — 100th Percentile.
Jonathan Brubaker: Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters have swung at 52% of JT Brubaker’s pitches (246/475) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 0 Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 52% of JT Brubaker’s pitches (530/1,012) with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 131 total IP; League Avg: 61% — first Percentile.
JT Brubaker has walked 8 of 47 right-handed batters (17%) this month (3 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.
JT Brubaker has a strike rate of just 58% (276/475) in two strike counts this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 0 Percentile.