The Philadelphia Phillies (-135) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (+115) on Sunday, July 21, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Pittsburgh, PA.
This season, the Phillies are 62-36 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 54-44 ATS.
Phillies vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:
- Phillies starting pitcher: Tyler Phillips 1-0, 4.50 ERA
- Pirates starting pitcher: Marco Gonzales 1-0, 2.46 ERA
Phillies vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Phillies vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 57.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Trea Turner has hit the RBIs Under in 31 of his last 37 games (+19.90 Units / 28% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Singles Over in 30 of his last 40 games (+17.80 Units / 36% ROI)
- Cristian Pache has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+13.40 Units / 48% ROI)
- Cristian Pache has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+12.20 Units / 45% ROI)
- Cristian Pache has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+11.75 Units / 42% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 18 games at home (+13.80 Units / 61% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 31 games (+13.45 Units / 43% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 17 games at home (+12.70 Units / 39% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Singles Over in 24 of his last 35 games (+11.75 Units / 28% ROI)
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.20 Units / 48% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 54 of their last 83 games (+21.40 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 54 of their last 81 games (+21.35 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 51 of their last 80 games (+16.90 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 49 of their last 81 games (+12.10 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 54 of their last 82 games (+10.30 Units / 7% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 54 games (+12.60 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 59 games (+11.95 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 34 of their last 54 games (+11.70 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 51 of their last 87 games (+11.30 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 54 games (+9.70 Units / 16% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 51-47 against the Run Line (+3.05 Units / 2.59% ROI).
- 62-36 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.85 Units / 4.21% ROI
- 44-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.35 Units / -9.55% ROI
- 49-44 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.5 Units / 0.47% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 54-44 against the Run Line (+6.86 Units / 5.38% ROI).
- 50-48 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.6 Units / 1.4% ROI
- 45-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.65 Units / -7.95% ROI
- 49-45 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.48 Units / 0.45% ROI
Pirates vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Pirates vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Gonzales (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes (PIT) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Pirates vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Pirates vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Phillips (PHI) | 3.5 -150 | 3.5 +115 |
| Marco Gonzales (PIT) | 3.5 -120 | 3.5 -110 |
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tyler Phillips has not walked any of the 38 batters that he has faced this month (2 games) — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Phillips has allowed an OBP of just .200 (15 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (2 games) — 13th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: .327 — 91st Percentile.
Tyler Phillips has allowed an OPS of 1.115 (26 PA’s) against right-handed batters this month (2 games) — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: .730 — sixth Percentile.
Tyler Phillips has a strikeout rate of 32% (12 SO in 38 PAs) this month (2 games) — 13th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 92nd Percentile.