The Philadelphia Phillies (+100) visit PETCO Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-120) on Wednesday, October 19, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:35pm EDT in San Diego for this postseason game.
The Phillies are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+170).
The Phillies vs Padres Over/Under is 6.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Phillies are 93-76 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 78-92 ATS.
Phillies vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Phillies vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Phillies and Padres and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Rhys Hoskins has hit the Runs Under in 38 of his last 51 away games (+21.35 Units / 30% ROI)
- Rhys Hoskins has hit the Total Bases Under in 36 of his last 51 away games (+15.65 Units / 20% ROI)
- Rhys Hoskins has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 17 away games (+13.35 Units / 78% ROI)
- Rhys Hoskins has hit the Singles Under in 25 of his last 32 games (+13.15 Units / 23% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Hits Under in 40 of his last 80 games (+12.35 Units / 15% ROI)
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Brandon Drury has hit the RBIs Under in 24 of his last 28 games at home (+15.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- Yu Darvish has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 22 of his last 31 games (+12.70 Units / 33% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the Runs Under in 27 of his last 39 games (+12.15 Units / 23% ROI)
- Mike Clevinger has hit the Strikeouts Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+12.10 Units / 48% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the Singles Under in 31 of his last 46 games at home (+11.50 Units / 19% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Phillies Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 41 of their last 57 away games (+24.28 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 72 of their last 119 games (+15.85 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 65 of their last 118 games (+10.30 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 57 away games (+9.30 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 6 games (+6.73 Units / 90% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Padres: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 45 of their last 78 games at home (+16.40 Units / 19% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 31 games at home (+9.35 Units / 27% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 33 games (+8.00 Units / 20% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 46 of their last 83 games at home (+6.80 Units / 7% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 26 games (+6.30 Units / 19% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 88-81 against the Run Line (+2.9 Units / 1.38% ROI).
- 93-76 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.75 Units / 1.13% ROI
- 85-78 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.7 Units / -0.37% ROI
- 78-85 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.25 Units / -7.7% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 78-92 against the Run Line (-20.45 Units / -9.61% ROI).
- 94-76 when betting on the Moneyline for -10 Units / -3.95% ROI
- 80-85 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.9 Units / -6.91% ROI
- 85-80 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.95 Units / -1.57% ROI
Aaron Nola: Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Aaron Nola has a first-pitch strike rate of 70% (582/836) this season – highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% – 100th Percentile.
Aaron Nola has 5 three-pitch strikeouts this month (2 games) – tied for most among pitchers in MLB – 100th Percentile.