The Philadelphia Phillies (+115) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-135) on Sunday, April 28, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in San Diego, CA.

This season, the Phillies are 18-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 14-16 ATS.

Phillies vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:

• Phillies starting pitcher: Taijuan Walker 0-0, 0.00 ERA
• Padres starting pitcher: Michael King 2-2, 4.11 ERA

Phillies vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Phillies vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 53.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:

• Alec Bohm has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 24 games (+14.85 Units / 62% ROI)
• Trea Turner has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 27 games (+12.45 Units / 40% ROI)
• Nick Castellanos has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 27 games (+10.95 Units / 32% ROI)
• Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+10.75 Units / 58% ROI)
• Nick Castellanos has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 27 games (+10.15 Units / 21% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 15 games (+14.50 Units / 97% ROI)
• Jackson Merrill has hit the Runs Under in his last 12 games (+12.00 Units / 56% ROI)
• Manny Machado has hit the RBIs Under in his last 11 games at home (+11.00 Units / 53% ROI)
• Manny Machado has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 16 games (+11.00 Units / 32% ROI)
• Manny Machado has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+10.20 Units / 56% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 73 of their last 118 games (+13.30 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 70 games (+11.85 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 24 away games (+9.10 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+7.18 Units / 41% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.21 Units / 41% ROI)

Padres Best Bets Today:

• The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 39 of their last 65 games at home (+13.80 Units / 20% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 55 games at home (+12.50 Units / 21% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 27 games (+12.45 Units / 30% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.80 Units / 33% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.09 Units / 36% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 14-14 against the Run Line (+0.1 Units / 0.29% ROI).

• 18-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.2 Units / 9.03% ROI
• 11-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.6 Units / -21.57% ROI
• 16-11 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.7 Units / 11.94% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 14-16 against the Run Line (-0.25 Units / -0.71% ROI).

• 14-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.5 Units / -9.46% ROI
• 15-14 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
• 14-15 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.75 Units / -8.17% ROI

Padres vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Hitters have chased just 98 of Taijuan Walker’s 459 breaking balls down out of the zone (chase rate of 21%) since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 139 total IP; League Avg: 35% — 0 Percentile.

Taijuan Walker has a strike rate of just 58% (457/788) in two strike counts since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 0 Percentile.

Taijuan Walker has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 86.8 MPH on the first pitch of at-bats since last season (76 balls in play) — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: 90.3

Hitters have chased just 138 of Taijuan Walker’s 701 breaking balls out of the zone (chase rate of 20%) since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 139 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 0 Percentile.

Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Michael King has walked 13 of 68 left-handed batters (19%) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.

Michael King has walked 7 of 53 batters (13%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 7th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — eighth Percentile.

Michael King has walked 18 of 137 batters (13%) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 58% of Michael King’s pitches in the zone (623/1,080) since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: 67% — 0 Percentile.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

  
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