The Philadelphia Phillies (+110) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-135) on Sunday, June 16, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.

This season, the Phillies are 47-23 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 42-28 ATS.

Phillies vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:

• Phillies starting pitcher: Zack Wheeler 8-3, 2.17 ERA
• Orioles starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes 7-2, 2.08 ERA

Phillies vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Phillies vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 53.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:

• Kyle Schwarber has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 39 games (+16.05 Units / 41% ROI)
• Nick Castellanos has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 23 away games (+16.00 Units / 70% ROI)
• Bryson Stott has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 19 games (+12.20 Units / 29% ROI)
• Bryce Harper has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 21 away games (+10.70 Units / 37% ROI)
• Bryson Stott has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.55 Units / 48% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Anthony Santander has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 22 games (+22.50 Units / 102% ROI)
• Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 13 games at home (+12.95 Units / 55% ROI)
• Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 23 games at home (+12.20 Units / 44% ROI)
• Jorge Mateo has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 30 games (+11.30 Units / 38% ROI)
• Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 18 games at home (+10.35 Units / 34% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 38 of their last 53 games (+20.85 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 38 of their last 55 games (+20.70 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 37 of their last 52 games (+19.90 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 37 of their last 53 games (+18.25 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 54 games (+17.30 Units / 19% ROI)

Orioles Best Bets Today:

• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 61 games (+21.50 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 37 of their last 55 games (+16.85 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 23 games (+9.55 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 23 games (+8.70 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 29 games at home (+8.50 Units / 19% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 39-31 against the Run Line (+8.85 Units / 10.52% ROI).

• 47-23 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.85 Units / 12.11% ROI
• 30-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.55 Units / -11.1% ROI
• 35-30 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.75 Units / 2.27% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 42-28 against the Run Line (+21.35 Units / 26.36% ROI).

• 46-24 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.65 Units / 12.63% ROI
• 34-25 when betting on the total runs Over for +7 Units / 9.27% ROI
• 25-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.55 Units / -16.44% ROI

Orioles vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Orioles vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Orioles vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today

Orioles vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Zack Wheeler has allowed an OPS of just .375 (162 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .662 — 100th Percentile.

Zack Wheeler has allowed an OBP of just .180 (161 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .289 — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting just .128 (19-for-149) against Zack Wheeler this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .082 (15-for-183) against Zack Wheeler with two-strikes this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .161 — 98th Percentile.

Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 69% of the time (68/98) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 64% (62/97) against Corbin Burnes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.

Corbin Burnes has located his fastballs down 65% of the time (387/596) since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.

Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 66% of the time (392/596) since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

  
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