The Philadelphia Phillies (-250) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+200) on Sunday, October 2, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Washington.

The Phillies are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+110).

The Phillies vs Nationals Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Phillies are 85-73 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 71-87 ATS.

Phillies vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Phillies vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Sunday‘s matchup with 56.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Phillies and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.

Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Nationals vs Phillies and all MLB games with BetMGM

Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Rhys Hoskins has hit the Runs Under in 40 of his last 57 away games (+19.40 Units / 25% ROI)
• Rhys Hoskins has hit the Singles Over in 34 of his last 61 away games (+14.30 Units / 23% ROI)
• Rhys Hoskins has hit the Total Bases Under in 37 of his last 55 away games (+13.10 Units / 16% ROI)
• Bryce Harper has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 22 games (+11.95 Units / 40% ROI)
• Bryce Harper has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+11.80 Units / 38% ROI)

Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Joey Meneses has hit the Hits Over in 40 of his last 49 games (+22.40 Units / 22% ROI)
• Luke Voit has hit the Runs Under in 29 of his last 37 games (+15.80 Units / 25% ROI)
• Lane Thomas has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 41 games (+15.70 Units / 26% ROI)
• Nelson Cruz has hit the Runs Under in 24 of his last 30 games at home (+14.50 Units / 31% ROI)
• Joey Meneses has hit the Total Bases Over in 31 of his last 49 games (+14.10 Units / 21% ROI)

Nationals vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Nationals vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Nationals vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today

Nationals vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Positive Betting Trends for the Phillies Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 64 of their last 108 games (+10.00 Units / 6% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 48 away games (+8.55 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 56 of their last 107 games (+3.65 Units / 3% ROI)

Positive Betting Trends for the Nationals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 49 of their last 91 games (+9.90 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 65 games (+8.30 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 44 games (+6.35 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 39 games (+4.40 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 7 games (+0.75 Units / 11% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 79-79 against the Run Line (-3.75 Units / -1.95% ROI).

• 85-73 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.1 Units / -1.35% ROI
• 79-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.3 Units / -0.74% ROI
• 73-79 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.9 Units / -7.45% ROI

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 71-87 against the Run Line (-22.75 Units / -11.98% ROI).

• 55-103 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.65 Units / -9.58% ROI
• 73-76 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.65 Units / -6.07% ROI
• 76-73 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.45 Units / -2% ROI

Zachary Wheeler: Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Zack Wheeler has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 79.4 MPH on inside pitches since the start of last season (453 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 159 total IP; League Avg: 85.3

Zack Wheeler has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.9 MPH on pitches in the strike zone since the start of last season (741 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 159 total IP; League Avg: 90.7

Zack Wheeler has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 83.2 MPH with runners in scoring position since the start of last season (169 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 159 total IP; League Avg: 87.9

Zack Wheeler has thrown inside pitches 43% of the time (421/981) when behind in the count since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.

Patrick Corbin: Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Patrick Corbin has located his pitches away 63% of the time (724/1,153) vs left-handed batters since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.

Patrick Corbin has allowed a slugging percentage of .572 (123 Total Bases / 215 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: .368 — 0 Percentile.

Patrick Corbin has allowed a slugging percentage of .714 (50 Total Bases / 70 ABs) in late innings since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 159 total IP; League Avg: .394 — first Percentile.

Patrick Corbin has located his pitches away 64% of the time (896/1,395) vs left-handed batters since the start of 2020 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

  
Read Full Article