The Philadelphia Phillies (-175) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+145) on Saturday, April 6, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Washington, DC.

This season, the Phillies are 3-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 3-4 ATS.

Phillies vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:

• Phillies starting pitcher: Ranger Suarez 0-0, 5.79 ERA
• Nationals starting pitcher: Jake Irvin 0-0, 5.40 ERA

Phillies vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Phillies vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 63.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:

• Bryce Harper has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 21 away games (+11.80 Units / 36% ROI)
• Bryce Harper has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+11.15 Units / 47% ROI)
• Nick Castellanos has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+11.15 Units / 31% ROI)
• Nick Castellanos has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 away games (+10.25 Units / 34% ROI)
• Ranger Suarez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+9.95 Units / 37% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• CJ Abrams has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 6 games (+7.60 Units / 110% ROI)
• Lane Thomas has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 7 games (+7.60 Units / 69% ROI)
• CJ Abrams has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 games (+7.05 Units / 59% ROI)
• Josiah Gray has hit the Strikeouts Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.05 Units / 38% ROI)
• Joey Meneses has hit the Hits Under in his last 4 games (+6.65 Units / 119% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 73 of their last 118 games (+13.30 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 70 games (+11.85 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 24 away games (+9.10 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+7.18 Units / 41% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.21 Units / 41% ROI)

Nationals Best Bets Today:

• The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 66 of their last 144 games (+23.45 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+6.30 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in their last 3 games (+3.15 Units / 94% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 84 of their last 156 games (+2.30 Units / 1% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 3-4 against the Run Line (-1.55 Units / -17.82% ROI).

• 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.1 Units / -21.54% ROI
• 5-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.8 Units / 36.13% ROI
• 2-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.45 Units / -45.1% ROI

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 3-4 against the Run Line (-2.85 Units / -29.38% ROI).

• 2-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.15 Units / -30.5% ROI
• 5-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.75 Units / 35.71% ROI
• 2-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.55 Units / -46.1% ROI

Nationals vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Nationals vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Hitters swung at 52% of Ranger Suarez’s pitches (288/553) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 60% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 61% (171/280) against Ranger Suarez in two-strike counts since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 132 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 99th Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 62% (45/73) against Ranger Suarez with runners in scoring position in the 2023 season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 97th Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 54% of Ranger Suarez’s pitches (708/1,307) with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 132 total IP; League Avg: 60% — first Percentile.

Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 20% (103/521) against Jake Irvin since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 0 Percentile.

Right-handed hitters had a chase rate of just 20% (102/502) against Jake Irvin in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 0 Percentile.

Right-handed hitters had a swing rate of just 41% (400/987) against Jake Irvin in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 0 Percentile.

Jake Irvin has thrown his curveball 49% of the time (21/43) vs left-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total CB; League Avg: 14% — 100th Percentile.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

  
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