Phillies vs Mets Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep. 22
Phillies vs Mets Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep. 22

The Philadelphia Phillies (-155) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (+130) on Sunday, September 22, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Flushing, NY.

This season, the Phillies are against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are ATS.

Phillies vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Phillies starting pitcher: Zack Wheeler 16-6, 2.57 ERA
  • Mets starting pitcher: Tylor Megill 4-5, 4.09 ERA

Phillies vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Phillies vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 60.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Kyle Schwarber has hit the Hits Over in his last 14 away games (+14.00 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Nick Castellanos has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 26 games (+13.70 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Bryce Harper has hit the Runs Under in 34 of his last 50 games (+13.40 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Kyle Schwarber has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 14 away games (+12.80 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Kyle Schwarber has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 24 away games (+11.05 Units / 46% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Luisangel Acuna has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+30.00 Units / 600% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 50 games (+15.90 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Over in 29 of his last 44 games (+13.25 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Runs Over in 22 of his last 30 games (+12.55 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 35 games (+10.75 Units / 28% ROI)

  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 41 of their last 62 games (+18.80 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 56 of their last 95 games (+12.10 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 26 games (+7.20 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 64 away games (+7.05 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 13 away games (+5.35 Units / 30% ROI)

  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 49 games (+69.58 Units / 142% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 49 games (+49.00 Units / 100% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 61 of their last 95 games (+20.20 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 55 of their last 96 games (+15.20 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 46 games at home (+14.75 Units / 27% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Mets vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under

Kyle Schwarber (PHI)
0.5 +400 0.5 -550

Bryce Harper (PHI)
0.5 +475 0.5 -650

Mark Vientos (NYM)
0.5 +500 0.5 -700

Trea Turner (PHI)
0.5 +525 0.5 -750

Pete Alonso (NYM)
0.5 +575 0.5 -800

Mets vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under

Bryce Harper (PHI)
0.5 -250 0.5 +180

Alec Bohm (PHI)
0.5 -250 0.5 +185

Jose Iglesias (NYM)
0.5 -225 0.5 +170

Trea Turner (PHI)
0.5 -225 0.5 +175

Nick Castellanos (PHI)
0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Mets vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under

Bryce Harper (PHI)
0.5 +155 0.5 -210

Alec Bohm (PHI)
0.5 +160 0.5 -210

Nick Castellanos (PHI)
0.5 +190 0.5 -250

Kyle Schwarber (PHI)
0.5 +195 0.5 -275

Trea Turner (PHI)
0.5 +195 0.5 -275

Mets vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under

Tylor Megill (NYM)
5.5 -125 5.5 -105

Zack Wheeler (PHI)
7.5 +120 7.5 -160

Right-handed batters are hitting just .156 (50-for-321) against Zack Wheeler this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — 100th Percentile.

Zack Wheeler has allowed an OPS of just .425 (340 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .666 — 100th Percentile.

Zack Wheeler has allowed an OBP of just .195 (339 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .288 — 100th Percentile.

Zack Wheeler has allowed a slugging percentage of just .231 (74 Total Bases / 321 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .378 — 100th Percentile.

Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .075 (3-for-40) against Tylor Megill in his last two starts — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .225 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitless in 17 AB’s against Tylor Megill when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — best among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .242 — 100th Percentile.

Tylor Megill has allowed an OPS of just .284 (44 PA’s) in his last two starts — 3rd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .656 — 97th Percentile.

Left-handed batters are hitting just .077 (2-for-26) against Tylor Megill in his last two starts — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .229 — 100th Percentile.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

  
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