The Philadelphia Phillies (-110) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-110) on Tuesday, October 8, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 5:08pm EDT in Flushing, NY.

This season, the Phillies are 96-68 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 87-80 ATS.

Phillies vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:

• Phillies starting pitcher: Aaron Nola 14-8, 3.59 ERA
• Mets starting pitcher: Sean Manaea 12-6, 3.49 ERA

Phillies vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Phillies vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 51.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:

• Bryce Harper has hit the RBIs Under in 32 of his last 42 games (+12.55 Units / 15% ROI)
• Kyle Schwarber has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 26 games (+11.45 Units / 44% ROI)
• Kyle Schwarber has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 27 games (+10.60 Units / 23% ROI)
• Bryce Harper has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 21 away games (+9.70 Units / 36% ROI)
• Kyle Schwarber has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 17 away games (+8.45 Units / 50% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Luisangel Acuna has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games at home (+29.00 Units / 483% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Runs Over in 28 of his last 39 games (+15.50 Units / 33% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Over in 32 of his last 50 games (+12.75 Units / 23% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 44 games (+12.20 Units / 26% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 44 games (+11.95 Units / 15% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 40 away games (+12.70 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 61 of their last 105 games (+11.10 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 40 of their last 69 away games (+10.00 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 77 of their last 149 games (+2.73 Units / 1% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 36 games (+2.00 Units / 4% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 68 of their last 108 games (+22.30 Units / 16% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 63 of their last 109 games (+17.65 Units / 13% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 32 of their last 48 games at home (+14.75 Units / 26% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 41 games at home (+11.75 Units / 26% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 79-85 against the Run Line (-9.9 Units / -4.95% ROI).

• 96-68 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.45 Units / -0.94% ROI
• 80-76 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.25 Units / -2.35% ROI
• 76-80 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.5 Units / -6.94% ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 87-80 against the Run Line (+4.1 Units / 1.92% ROI).

• 92-75 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.9 Units / 4.2% ROI
• 85-77 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
• 77-85 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.15 Units / -8.32% ROI

Mets vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .323 (72-for-223) against Aaron Nola versus the bottom of the order this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .223 — first Percentile.

Aaron Nola has allowed an OPS of .880 (236 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .623 — first Percentile.

Aaron Nola has thrown his curveball 34% of the time (207/613) when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 96th Percentile.

Hitters have chased 531 of Aaron Nola’s 1,157 breaking balls out of the zone (chase rate of 46%) since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.

Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Sean Manaea has walked 29 of 288 batters (10%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — fifth Percentile.

Sean Manaea has walked 19 of 142 batters (13%) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — third Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .202 (51-for-253) against Sean Manaea when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — 88th Percentile.

Sean Manaea has thrown elevated pitches 51% of the time (321/632) when behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

  
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