The Philadelphia Phillies (+170) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-200) on Friday, August 12, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, Queens.
The Mets are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Phillies vs Mets Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Phillies are 62-49 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 63-49 ATS.
Phillies vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Phillies vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Friday‘s matchup with 53.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Phillies and Mets and up-to-date player injuries.
Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Mets vs Phillies and all MLB games with BetMGM
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 44 away games (+15.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 29 games (+12.05 Units / 39% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 42 away games (+11.60 Units / 25% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Singles Under in 29 of his last 38 games (+11.55 Units / 15% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 29 games (+10.40 Units / 24% ROI)
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 30 games (+17.35 Units / 27% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 17 games (+14.00 Units / 70% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 29 games (+13.95 Units / 42% ROI)
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+11.80 Units / 42% ROI)
- Starling Marte has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 36 games at home (+11.70 Units / 30% ROI)
Mets vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nimmo | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Darin Ruf | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
| Eduardo Escobar | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Jeff McNeil | 0.5 +1050 | 0.5 |
Mets vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nimmo | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +190 |
| Darin Ruf | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +110 |
| Eduardo Escobar | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +130 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Jeff McNeil | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
Mets vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nimmo | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Darin Ruf | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -225 |
| Eduardo Escobar | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jeff McNeil | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
Mets vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Scherzer | 7.5 -150 | 7.5 +105 |
| Ranger Suarez | 3.5 -175 | 3.5 +120 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Phillies Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 61 games (+17.60 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 61 of their last 106 games (+13.65 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 60 games (+12.50 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 24 away games (+7.35 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.95 Units / 29% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Mets: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 37 of their last 50 games at home (+25.22 Units / 42% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 73 of their last 112 games (+21.75 Units / 13% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 63 of their last 112 games (+16.80 Units / 12% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 35 of their last 50 games at home (+15.20 Units / 20% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 42 of their last 74 games (+10.95 Units / 13% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 58-53 against the Run Line (+5.1 Units / 3.79% ROI).
- 62-49 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.5 Units / 2.93% ROI
- 55-50 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.2 Units / 0.16% ROI
- 50-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.2 Units / -8.35% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 63-49 against the Run Line (+16.8 Units / 12.34% ROI).
- 73-39 when betting on the Moneyline for +21.75 Units / 12.78% ROI
- 58-47 when betting on the total runs Over for +6 Units / 4.83% ROI
- 47-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.3 Units / -13.3% ROI
Ranger Suarez: Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 13% (17/130) against Ranger Suarez with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .160 (27-for-169) against Ranger Suarez with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: .247 — 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 59% (120/202) against Ranger Suarez in two-strike counts since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 98th Percentile.
Ranger Suarez has an average spin rate of 1893.3 RPM on fastballs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 2224.9 — first Percentile.
Maxwell Scherzer: Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Max Scherzer has struck out 36% (196/540) of right-handed batters he faced since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 99th Percentile.
Max Scherzer has allowed an OBP of just .120 (25 PA’s) against right-handed batters — 2nd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .300 — 98th Percentile.
Max Scherzer has allowed an OBP of just .219 (539 PA’s) against right-handed batters since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: .306 — 100th Percentile.
Max Scherzer has allowed an OBP of just .243 (1,061 PA’s) since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: .305 — 99th Percentile.