The Philadelphia Phillies (-225) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (+185) on Friday, September 6, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Miami, FL.

This season, the Phillies are 84-56 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 65-75 ATS.

Phillies vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:

• Phillies starting pitcher: Zack Wheeler 13-6, 2.65 ERA
• Marlins starting pitcher: Edward Cabrera 3-6, 5.43 ERA

Phillies vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Phillies vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Friday‘s MLB game with 64.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:

• Bryson Stott has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 31 games (+14.20 Units / 46% ROI)
• Bryce Harper has hit the Runs Under in 27 of his last 38 games (+13.00 Units / 27% ROI)
• Bryce Harper has hit the RBIs Under in 30 of his last 39 games (+12.00 Units / 16% ROI)
• Edmundo Sosa has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 21 away games (+11.35 Units / 47% ROI)
• Kyle Schwarber has hit the Total Bases Under in 29 of his last 45 games (+11.15 Units / 19% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jake Burger has hit the Home Runs Over in 16 of his last 48 games (+31.80 Units / 66% ROI)
• Xavier Edwards has hit the Hits Over in 34 of his last 49 games (+19.90 Units / 24% ROI)
• Jake Burger has hit the Total Bases Over in 33 of his last 49 games (+19.30 Units / 34% ROI)
• Xavier Edwards has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 34 of his last 48 games (+17.85 Units / 31% ROI)
• Xavier Edwards has hit the Singles Over in 34 of his last 45 games (+16.30 Units / 24% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 48 games (+15.15 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 48 of their last 81 games (+11.10 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.80 Units / 46% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 69 of their last 125 games (+7.70 Units / 4% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in their last 5 away games (+5.75 Units / 81% ROI)

Marlins Best Bets Today:

• The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 72 games at home (+27.15 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 33 of their last 48 games (+17.00 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 45 games (+7.55 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 45 games (+7.45 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+7.00 Units / 17% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 70-70 against the Run Line (-2.2 Units / -1.29% ROI).

• 84-56 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.35 Units / 1.51% ROI
• 64-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.55 Units / -8.77% ROI
• 70-64 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.75 Units / -0.49% ROI

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 65-75 against the Run Line (-30.46 Units / -16.66% ROI).

• 52-88 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.95 Units / -12.27% ROI
• 75-59 when betting on the total runs Over for +10.55 Units / 6.82% ROI
• 59-75 when betting on the total runs Under for -22.4 Units / -14.61% ROI

Marlins vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Marlins vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Marlins vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today

Marlins vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Zack Wheeler has allowed an OBP of just .200 (305 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .290 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .151 (33-for-219) against Zack Wheeler versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .248 — 100th Percentile.

Zack Wheeler has thrown inside pitches 43% of the time (2,362/5,545) in non-two strike counts since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.

Zack Wheeler has allowed an OPS of just .440 (306 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .669 — 100th Percentile.

Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Edward Cabrera has walked 73 of 500 batters (15%) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 120 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.

Edward Cabrera has walked 108 of 767 batters (14%) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 120 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.

Edward Cabrera has walked 54 of 432 batters (12%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 185 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.

Edward Cabrera has walked 46 of 282 batters (16%) versus the 2-3-4 hitters since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 120 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 0 Percentile.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

  
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