Phillies vs Marlins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 12
Phillies vs Marlins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 12

The Philadelphia Phillies (-250) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (+200) on Sunday, May 12, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Miami, FL.

This season, the Phillies are 28-12 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 11-30 ATS.

Phillies vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Phillies starting pitcher: Zack Wheeler 4-3, 1.63 ERA
  • Marlins starting pitcher: Braxton Garrett 0-0, 0.00 ERA

Phillies vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Phillies vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 77.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Johan Rojas has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 away games (+17.00 Units / 425% ROI)
  • Alec Bohm has hit the RBIs Over in 17 of his last 31 games (+12.40 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Bryce Harper has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 23 of his last 36 games (+9.85 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 13 away games (+9.75 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Alec Bohm has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 21 games (+9.70 Units / 46% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 26 games (+15.70 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 22 games at home (+14.55 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Josh Bell has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+13.30 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Jazz Chisholm has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 33 games (+12.20 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Josh Bell has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 31 games (+9.80 Units / 27% ROI)

  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 73 of their last 118 games (+13.30 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 70 games (+11.85 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 24 away games (+9.10 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+7.18 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.21 Units / 41% ROI)

  • The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 32 of their last 59 games at home (+8.35 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+7.55 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.64 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 31 games (+5.65 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 33 of their last 58 games at home (+2.99 Units / 4% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 22-18 against the Run Line (+5.25 Units / 10.78% ROI).

  • 28-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.25 Units / 17.15% ROI
  • 19-19 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.9 Units / -4.33% ROI
  • 19-19 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.1 Units / -4.76% ROI

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 11-30 against the Run Line (-25.51 Units / -48.35% ROI).

  • 10-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -22.2 Units / -48.21% ROI
  • 24-17 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.65 Units / 12.57% ROI
  • 17-24 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.2 Units / -20.33% ROI

Marlins vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jazz Chisholm (MIA) 0.5 +525 0.5 -750
J.T. Realmuto (PHI) 0.5 +525 0.5 -750
Jake Burger (MIA) 0.5 +525 0.5 -750
Bryce Harper (PHI) 0.5 +575 0.5 -800
Nick Castellanos (PHI) 0.5 +575 0.5 -900

Marlins vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
J.T. Realmuto (PHI) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Bryce Harper (PHI) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Nick Castellanos (PHI) 0.5 -225 0.5 +160
Bryson Stott (PHI) 0.5 -200 0.5 +155
Nick Gordon (MIA) 0.5 -185 0.5 +140

Marlins vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alec Bohm (PHI) 0.5 +140 0.5 -190
Bryce Harper (PHI) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
J.T. Realmuto (PHI) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Nick Castellanos (PHI) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Edmundo Sosa (PHI) 0.5 +190 0.5 -250

Marlins vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Braxton Garrett (MIA) 3.5 -175 3.5 +135
Zack Wheeler (PHI) 7.5 +115 7.5 -155

Opponents are hitting just .052 (6-for-115) against Zack Wheeler with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .165 — 100th Percentile.

  
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