The Philadelphia Phillies (-140) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (+115) on Sunday, August 4, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Seattle, WA.

This season, the Phillies are 65-45 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 50-62 ATS.

Phillies vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:

• Phillies starting pitcher: Zack Wheeler 10-5, 2.96 ERA
• Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert 6-7, 3.12 ERA

Phillies vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Phillies vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 57.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Phillies vs Mariners and all games with BetMGM

$1500 First Bet Offer

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:

• Trea Turner has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 25 games (+14.30 Units / 57% ROI)
• Kyle Schwarber has hit the Singles Over in 25 of his last 50 games (+13.55 Units / 27% ROI)
• Alec Bohm has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 24 games (+12.35 Units / 28% ROI)
• Nick Castellanos has hit the Runs Under in 31 of his last 43 games (+12.20 Units / 18% ROI)
• Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 22 of his last 32 games (+11.20 Units / 28% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Luke Raley has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 20 games at home (+16.40 Units / 82% ROI)
• Randy Arozarena has hit the Hits Over in 31 of his last 40 games (+14.45 Units / 18% ROI)
• Justin Turner has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 24 games at home (+13.90 Units / 58% ROI)
• Logan Gilbert has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.70 Units / 42% ROI)
• Cal Raleigh has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 16 games at home (+10.10 Units / 29% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 58 of their last 95 games (+18.50 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 58 of their last 93 games (+16.55 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 56 of their last 92 games (+13.75 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 54 of their last 93 games (+9.05 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 39 away games (+6.25 Units / 15% ROI)

Mariners Best Bets Today:

• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 36 of their last 55 games at home (+16.05 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 33 of their last 56 games at home (+9.70 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 51 games at home (+9.60 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 46 games at home (+6.65 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.90 Units / 44% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 55-55 against the Run Line (-1.35 Units / -1.02% ROI).

• 65-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.9 Units / -1.06% ROI
• 51-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -9 Units / -7.4% ROI
• 54-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.35 Units / -1.95% ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 50-62 against the Run Line (-15.9 Units / -11.22% ROI).

• 59-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.6 Units / -4.52% ROI
• 48-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.4 Units / -14.27% ROI
• 60-48 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.25 Units / 5.91% ROI

Mariners vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Mariners vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Mariners vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today

Mariners vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Zack Wheeler has allowed a slugging percentage of just .230 (49 Total Bases / 213 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .382 — 100th Percentile.

Zack Wheeler has thrown inside pitches 43% of the time (2,187/5,131) in non-two strike counts since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.

Zack Wheeler has thrown inside pitches 42% of the time (1,485/3,510) in non-two strike counts since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 96th Percentile.

Zack Wheeler has allowed an OBP of just .209 (230 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .292 — 100th Percentile.

Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Logan Gilbert has allowed an OBP of just .183 (197 PA’s) versus the top of the order this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .315 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .169 (32-for-189) against Logan Gilbert when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — 95th Percentile.

Logan Gilbert has induced opposing hitters to ground into 14 double plays in 60 opportunities (23%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.

Logan Gilbert has allowed an OPS of just .451 (198 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .683 — 100th Percentile.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

  
Read Full Article