The Philadelphia Phillies (+105) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-130) on Sunday, September 4, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in San Francisco.
The Giants are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Phillies vs Giants Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Phillies are 72-59 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 58-69 ATS.
Phillies vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Phillies vs Giants Prediction for Today's Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Sunday's matchup with 56.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Phillies and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today
We've highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Sunday's game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Rhys Hoskins has hit the Singles Over in 31 of his last 51 away games (+18.25 Units / 35% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Over in 34 of his last 55 away games (+15.55 Units / 18% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Singles Over in 33 of his last 45 games (+12.90 Units / 18% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Hits Under in 24 of his last 45 games (+11.95 Units / 25% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Runs Under in 30 of his last 50 games (+11.75 Units / 22% ROI)
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Sunday's game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 39 games (+12.35 Units / 24% ROI)
- LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 21 games at home (+10.70 Units / 28% ROI)
- Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 22 games (+10.40 Units / 26% ROI)
- Wilmer Flores has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+9.75 Units / 47% ROI)
- Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+9.10 Units / 32% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Phillies Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 75 of their last 128 games (+18.95 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 32 away games (+5.05 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 28 away games (+4.20 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 29 games (+1.42 Units / 4% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Giants: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 36 of their last 60 games at home (+17.15 Units / 26% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 12 games at home (+1.48 Units / 10% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 67-63 against the Run Line (+2.7 Units / 1.72% ROI).
- 72-59 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.9 Units / 1% ROI
- 66-59 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.3 Units / 0.9% ROI
- 59-66 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.1 Units / -9.1% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 58-69 against the Run Line (-19.75 Units / -12.41% ROI).
- 62-66 when betting on the Moneyline for -24.95 Units / -13.14% ROI
- 62-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.7 Units / -1.21% ROI
- 58-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.9 Units / -7.65% ROI
Ranger Suarez: Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 58% (371/643) against Ranger Suarez since the start of last season – 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 146 total IP; League Avg: 44% – 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 12% (18/144) against Ranger Suarez with runners in scoring position since the start of last season – 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 146 total IP; League Avg: 24% – 99th Percentile.
Ranger Suarez has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 85.0 MPH on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season (100 balls in play) – best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 145 total IP; League Avg: 89.7
Opponents are hitting just .166 (50-for-302) against Ranger Suarez's inside fastball since the start of last season – tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 146 total IP; League Avg: .257 – 100th Percentile.
Carlos Rodon: Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 37% (47 SO in 126 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season – best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% – 100th Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 40% (96 SO in 242 PAs) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season – best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 146 total IP; League Avg: 22% – 100th Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has thrown elevated pitches 47% of the time (288/609) on the first pitch of at-bats this season – highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% – 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 30% (385/1,266) against Carlos Rodon this season – 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% – 87th Percentile.