Phillies vs Giants Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 27
Phillies vs Giants Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 27

The Philadelphia Phillies (-110) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-110) on Monday, May 27, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 5:05pm EDT in San Francisco, CA.

This season, the Phillies are 38-16 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 27-27 ATS.

Phillies vs Giants Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Phillies starting pitcher: Taijuan Walker 3-0, 5.20 ERA
  • Giants starting pitcher: Blake Snell 0-3, 11.41 ERA

Phillies vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Phillies vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Monday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Alec Bohm has hit the RBIs Over in 25 of his last 45 games (+16.70 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Nick Castellanos has hit the Hits Under in 26 of his last 50 games (+14.05 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Nick Castellanos has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 14 away games (+13.70 Units / 98% ROI)
  • Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 25 of his last 35 games (+12.75 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Alec Bohm has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 35 games (+11.75 Units / 32% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Thairo Estrada has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 25 games (+21.60 Units / 86% ROI)
  • Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 14 games at home (+12.05 Units / 86% ROI)
  • Thairo Estrada has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+11.80 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 25 of his last 33 games (+9.45 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the Total Bases Under in 30 of his last 46 games (+9.30 Units / 14% ROI)

  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 37 games (+24.25 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 37 games (+17.40 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 38 games (+17.20 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 39 games (+16.35 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 35 games (+14.75 Units / 34% ROI)

  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+9.90 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 10 games at home (+7.95 Units / 64% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.65 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+7.30 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+7.15 Units / 42% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 31-23 against the Run Line (+9.3 Units / 14.12% ROI).

  • 38-16 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.75 Units / 15.13% ROI
  • 26-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.45 Units / -2.45% ROI
  • 25-26 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.85 Units / -6.46% ROI

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Giants are 27-27 against the Run Line (-1.05 Units / -1.5% ROI).

  • 27-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.95 Units / -5.87% ROI
  • 28-24 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.9 Units / 3.22% ROI
  • 24-28 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.95 Units / -11.62% ROI

Giants vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jorge Soler (SF) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650
Kyle Schwarber (PHI) 0.5 +500 0.5 -750
Mike Yastrzemski (SF) 0.5 +575 0.5 -900
Bryce Harper (PHI) 0.5 +625 0.5 -1000

Giants vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alec Bohm (PHI) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
J.T. Realmuto (PHI) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Whit Merrifield (PHI) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Patrick Bailey (SF) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Giants vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 +130 0.5 -165
Alec Bohm (PHI) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Jorge Soler (SF) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Bryce Harper (PHI) 0.5 +180 0.5 -250
Nick Castellanos (PHI) 0.5 +180 0.5 -250

Giants vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Taijuan Walker (PHI) 3.5 -175 3.5 +130
Blake Snell (SF) 5.5 -135 5.5 +100

Opponents have a swing rate of just 34% (245/719) against Taijuan Walker on low breaking pitches since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 149 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 0 Percentile.

Hitters have chased just 141 of Taijuan Walker’s 717 breaking balls out of the zone (chase rate of 20%) since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 149 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 0 Percentile.

Hitters have chased just 100 of Taijuan Walker’s 473 breaking balls down out of the zone (chase rate of 21%) since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 149 total IP; League Avg: 35% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (43/243) against Taijuan Walker on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP; League Avg: 26% — third Percentile.

Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Blake Snell has walked 46 of 320 batters (14%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 37% (554/1,501) against Blake Snell since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 99th Percentile.

Blake Snell has walked 31 of 174 batters (18%) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 0 Percentile.

Blake Snell has a strike rate of just 55% (420/762) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 0 Percentile.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

  
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