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The Los Angeles Dodgers and the Philadelphia Phillies vie for a series win in Wednesday's rubber match, and we have you covered with our best Phillies vs. Dodgers player props based on the best sports betting sites.
The Phillies and Dodgers have split the first two games of their three-game series, and Philadelphia now has a 4-1 edge in the season series. No matter Wednesday's result, the Phillies will leave town with the best record in the National League, as they start the day 1.5 games ahead of the Dodgers.
This series has been good to me. On Monday and Tuesday, I went a combined 4-1 with my player prop articles, returning an even 5.0 units of profit.
Betway has Los Angeles as a -140 moneyline home favorite, with first pitch from Dodger Stadium scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET.
Phillies vs. Dodgers player props
MLB odds&n bsp;via our best MLB betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale.
- Gavin Stone Under 17.5 outs recorded (-105 via Betway) ???
- Bryce Harper Under 1.5 total bases (-165 via Betway) ????
- Teoscar Hernandez Over 0.5 RBIs (+150 via Betway) ???
Phillies vs. Dodgers expert picks
MLB picks made Wednesday at 6:50 a.m. ET.
The Dodgers have lost four of Stone's last five starts. The righty has allowed four or more runs in all of those appearances, including a 4-3 road loss to the Phillies on July 10. It is fair to wonder if the 25-year-old has hit a wall, as he had only thrown 31 major-league innings before this year and is already up to 111 2/3.
Stone has especially struggled with good teams of late, allowing 18 earned runs in his last 31 1/3 innings against teams with a wi nning record. He has made it to the sixth inning just twice in those starts, and manager Dave Roberts will likely continue to manage Stone's innings to keep him as fresh as possible for the playoffs.
A winning $10 wager for this prop would pay out $19.52.
Best odds: -105 via Betway | Implied probability: 51.22%
The Phillies are 6-14 since July 12, and the only team worse in that span is the historically bad Chicago White Sox. Harper's struggles in that stretch are a microcosm of how the offense has performed. While his five home runs have inflated his slugging to .438 in that stretch, he is also batting .200 with a .273 on-base percentage and a .302 wOBA.
Harper's all-or-nothing approach should not fare too well against Stone, as the righty has allowed just one home run per nine innings, and his 2.8% home run rate allowed is nearly cut in half f rom his 5.3% rate last year.
While Harper has gone over this projected total in four consecutive games, I agree with the 62.26% implied probability that he will stay Under 1.5 total bases on Wednesday. I'm happy with the $6.06 profit I would return from every $10 wagered on this prop.
Best odds: -165 via Betway | Implied probability: 62.26%
The Phillies send Tyler Phillips to the mound for his fourth road appearance (third start), and he has been lit up for a 6.94 ERA and .261 OBA away from home thus far. In addition, Phillips has been much tougher on left-handed hitters than righties, as he has allowed a .136/.174/.227 slash line against lefties and a .302/.339/.660 slash line to right-handed batters.
Thus, with lefties like Shohei Ohtani and Freddie Freeman's offensive ceilings lowered, we are looking to Hernandez to pick up the offensive slack. He has at least one RBI in five of his previous nine games, so his implied probability of driving in another run should not be as low as 40%, considering he should continue to see plenty of pitches to hit now that he has protection from Freeman in the lineup once again.
A winning $10 wager would net $15 in profit.
Best odds: +150 via Betway | Implied probability: 40.00%
Phillies vs. Dodgers odds & game info
- When: Wednesday, Aug. 7
- First pitch: 10:10 p.m. ET
- Where: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles
- How to watch: MLBN
- Favorite: Dodgers (-140 via Betway)
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