The Philadelphia Phillies (-105) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-115) on Tuesday, August 6, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA.

This season, the Phillies are 66-46 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 55-58 ATS.

Phillies vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:

• Phillies starting pitcher: Cristopher Sanchez 7-7, 3.31 ERA
• Dodgers starting pitcher: Clayton Kershaw 0-1, 5.63 ERA

Phillies vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Phillies vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 52.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:

• Kyle Schwarber has hit the Singles Over in 25 of his last 49 games (+15.90 Units / 32% ROI)
• Trea Turner has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+12.85 Units / 54% ROI)
• Trea Turner has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 27 games (+12.30 Units / 46% ROI)
• Nick Castellanos has hit the Runs Under in 32 of his last 45 games (+10.85 Units / 15% ROI)
• Austin Hays has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+10.15 Units / 31% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Nick Ahmed has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 games at home (+21.00 Units / 262% ROI)
• Jason Heyward has hit the Singles Under in 30 of his last 38 games (+16.85 Units / 27% ROI)
• Gavin Lux has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+12.35 Units / 61% ROI)
• Gavin Lux has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 14 games (+11.80 Units / 49% ROI)
• Amed Rosario has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+11.55 Units / 28% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 59 of their last 97 games (+18.50 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 59 of their last 95 games (+16.40 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 57 of their last 94 games (+13.50 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 55 of their last 95 games (+8.90 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 41 away games (+6.15 Units / 14% ROI)

Dodgers Best Bets Today:

• The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 46 games at home (+8.85 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 31 games (+8.10 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 11 games at home (+6.00 Units / 51% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+5.35 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.80 Units / 35% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 56-56 against the Run Line (-1.8 Units / -1.34% ROI).

• 66-46 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.9 Units / -1.05% ROI
• 52-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.1 Units / -7.34% ROI
• 55-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.4 Units / -1.96% ROI

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 55-58 against the Run Line (-8.7 Units / -6.38% ROI).

• 66-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.65 Units / -6.35% ROI
• 59-53 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.75 Units / 0.6% ROI
• 53-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.9 Units / -9.54% ROI

Dodgers vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Dodgers vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Dodgers vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today

Dodgers vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of 65% (157/243) against Cristopher Sanchez in two-strike counts since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 109 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 59% (218/370) against Cristopher Sanchez this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 97th Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of 50% (289/575) against Cristopher Sanchez with two-strikes since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 109 total IP; League Avg: 39% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 62% (92/148) against Cristopher Sanchez in two-strike counts this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 98th Percentile.

Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Clayton Kershaw has thrown his slider 58% of the time (431/738) when he’s behind in the count since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 174 total SL; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 56% of Clayton Kershaw’s non-fastballs (1,375/2,466) since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 174 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of 62% (1,065/1,728) against Clayton Kershaw on sliders since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 174 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 100th Percentile.

Clayton Kershaw has allowed an OPS of just .460 (209 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 174 total IP; League Avg: .730 — 100th Percentile.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

  
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