The Philadelphia Phillies (-135) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (+115) on Friday, October 20, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:07pm EDT in Phoenix.

The Phillies are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).

The Phillies vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Phillies are 97-74 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 94-76 ATS.

Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Phillies vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 64.8% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Phillies and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:

• Bryce Harper has hit the Runs Over in 34 of his last 49 games (+19.25 Units / 35% ROI)
• Trea Turner has hit the Runs Over in 28 of his last 38 games (+17.20 Units / 38% ROI)
• Alec Bohm has hit the Singles Under in 29 of his last 45 games (+15.05 Units / 32% ROI)
• Trea Turner has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 50 games (+13.90 Units / 17% ROI)
• Bryce Harper has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 17 away games (+12.45 Units / 62% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+13.45 Units / 27% ROI)
• Evan Longoria has hit the Runs Under in his last 13 games at home (+13.00 Units / 52% ROI)
• Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Under in 32 of his last 47 games (+12.90 Units / 17% ROI)
• Christian Walker has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 28 games (+12.35 Units / 44% ROI)
• Pavin Smith has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 17 games at home (+11.40 Units / 67% ROI)

Diamondbacks vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 72 of their last 114 games (+17.00 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 66 games (+13.60 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 games (+9.46 Units / 81% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 10 games (+8.35 Units / 76% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 31 games (+8.19 Units / 23% ROI)

Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:

• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 51 of their last 90 games (+13.40 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 62 games at home (+12.45 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 54 games (+11.20 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 49 of their last 84 games (+10.12 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 52 games (+7.05 Units / 11% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 79-92 against the Run Line (-18.55 Units / -8.83% ROI).

• 97-74 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.25 Units / 0.52% ROI
• 77-80 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.75 Units / -5.72% ROI
• 80-77 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.75 Units / -2.52% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 94-76 against the Run Line (+8.45 Units / 3.85% ROI).

• 90-80 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.55 Units / 4.57% ROI
• 74-87 when betting on the total runs Over for -23.5 Units / -12.34% ROI
• 87-74 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.35 Units / 4% ROI

Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Cristopher Sanchez has located his fastballs down 52% of the time (561/1,079) since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 13% (13/102) against Cristopher Sanchez on changeups since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 58% (162/281) against Cristopher Sanchez this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 57% (229/402) against Cristopher Sanchez since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.

Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Joe Mantiply has allowed a .454 SLG vs right-handed batters (10th worst)– sixth Percentile and just .260 vs left-handed batters since last season (eighth best among qualified RPs)– 95th Percentile.

Joe Mantiply has walked 15 of 400 batters (4%) since last season — 2nd best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — 99th Percentile.

Joe Mantiply has a strike rate of 70% (997/1,432) since last season — 2nd highest among in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 98th Percentile.

  
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