The Philadelphia Phillies (-135) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (+110) on Wednesday, August 31, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix.
The Phillies are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Phillies vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Phillies are 71-57 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 74-51 ATS.
Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Phillies vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today's Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Wednesday's matchup with 55.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Phillies and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today
We've highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Wednesday's game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Wednesday's game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Diamondbacks vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alek Thomas | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Carson Kelly | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -550 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Emmanuel Rivera | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
Diamondbacks vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alek Thomas | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Carson Kelly | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +190 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
| Emmanuel Rivera | 1.5 +170 | 1.5 -250 |
Diamondbacks vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alek Thomas | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -300 |
| Carson Kelly | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -175 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Emmanuel Rivera | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -225 |
Diamondbacks vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tommy Henry | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -160 |
| Bailey Falter | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -160 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Phillies Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Diamondbacks: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 66-62 against the Run Line (+2.55 Units / 1.64% ROI).
- 71-57 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.15 Units / 1.7% ROI
- 63-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.7 Units / -1.21% ROI
- 59-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.9 Units / -7.03% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 74-51 against the Run Line (+20.5 Units / 12.76% ROI).
- 60-65 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.05 Units / 1.45% ROI
- 57-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.1 Units / -8.84% ROI
- 63-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.8 Units / -0.58% ROI
Bailey Falter: Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 25% (6/24) against Bailey Falter – 2nd lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 45% – second Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 31% (10/32) against Bailey Falter – tied for 8th lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 45% – seventh Percentile.
Bailey Falter allowed a slugging percentage of .667 (12 Total Bases / 18 ABs) against right-handed batters – 4th highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .365 – sixth Percentile.
Thomas Henry: Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 31% (8/26) against Tommy Henry – tied for 8th lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 45% – 10th Percentile.
Tommy Henry has allowed an OBP of .300 (60 PA's) with two-strikes this month (5 games) – 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .231 – 12th Percentile.
Tommy Henry has walked 12 of 100 right-handed batters (12%) this month (5 games) – tied for 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% – sixth Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph'>Hard-Hit Rate of 57% (16/28) against Tommy Henry – tied for 3rd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 38% – third Percentile.