The Philadelphia Phillies (-200) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (+165) on Wednesday, September 28, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Chicago.
The Phillies are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The Phillies vs Cubs Over/Under is 6.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Phillies are 83-70 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 76-78 ATS.
Phillies vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Phillies vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 51.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Phillies and Cubs and up-to-date player injuries.
Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Cubs vs Phillies and all MLB games with BetMGM
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Rhys Hoskins has hit the Runs Under in 35 of his last 51 away games (+15.50 Units / 23% ROI)
- Rhys Hoskins has hit the Singles Over in 31 of his last 55 away games (+14.25 Units / 25% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Over in 37 of his last 62 away games (+12.75 Units / 13% ROI)
- Bryce Harper has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+12.10 Units / 50% ROI)
- Rhys Hoskins has hit the Total Bases Under in 33 of his last 49 away games (+11.90 Units / 17% ROI)
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Rafael Ortega has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 22 games at home (+17.05 Units / 67% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Total Bases Over in 32 of his last 50 games at home (+12.75 Units / 18% ROI)
- Rafael Ortega has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 22 games at home (+11.80 Units / 32% ROI)
- Rafael Ortega has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 23 games at home (+11.10 Units / 33% ROI)
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 19 games (+10.75 Units / 27% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Phillies Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 34 away games (+9.45 Units / 25% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Cubs: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 75% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 77-76 against the Run Line (-2.3 Units / -1.23% ROI).
- 83-70 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.6 Units / 0.27% ROI
- 77-70 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.05 Units / 0.03% ROI
- 70-77 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.75 Units / -8.2% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 76-78 against the Run Line (-14.25 Units / -7.2% ROI).
- 68-86 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.65 Units / -5.55% ROI
- 63-79 when betting on the total runs Over for -23.8 Units / -14.04% ROI
- 79-63 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.05 Units / 5.92% ROI
Aaron Nola: Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Aaron Nola’s K:BB ratio is 10.3 (113/11) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 4.1 — 100th Percentile.
Aaron Nola has walked 29 of 760 batters (4%) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 97th Percentile.
Aaron Nola has a strike rate of 69% (1,976/2,856) this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — 95th Percentile.
Aaron Nola has a first-pitch strike rate of 70% (532/764) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — 100th Percentile.
Hayden Wesneski: Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 7% (1/15) against Hayden Wesneski against right-handed batters — tied for best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 38% — 100th Percentile.
Hayden Wesneski has allowed an OPS of just .457 (29 PA’s) vs left-handed batters — 10th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .665 — 84th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 11% (6/56) against Hayden Wesneski this month (4 games) — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 26% (9/35) against Hayden Wesneski — 9th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 39% — 91st Percentile.